Free NHL Pick: McDavid and Oilers PP Beat Ovie and Caps

Jimmy Murphy

Sunday, November 4, 2018 4:32 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 4, 2018 4:32 PM UTC

The Oilers continue their four-game roadie out East with their third straight win as Connor McDavid outduels Alexander Ovechkin and the Capitals.

Murphy: 24-19-2

Edmonton (8-4-1, 8-5 ATS) at Washington (5-4-3, 5-7 ATS)Monday 7 p.m. ETFree NHL Picks: Oilers MLBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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After a sluggish 0-2-0 start that had media and fans alike already calling for the heads of head coach Todd McLellan and general manager Peter Chiarelli, the Edmonton Oilers have righted the ship going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and will ride a two-game win streak into Washington Monday to play the defending Stanley Cup Champions, the Washington Capitals. The Capitals meanwhile haven’t quite found their game yet. They’re yet to win two straight games themselves and carry a two-game losing streak into this tilt that pits Alexander Ovechkin against Connor McDavid.

McDavid had a goal and Ovechkin was held off the scoresheet when the two teams last met on October 25, and the result was a 4-1 Oilers win. Look for a similar, if not the same exact score in this game at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Monday. Right now the Oilers are simply playing better and balanced hockey and the Caps are still trying to find their bearings. They enter this game, not in a playoff spot and hovering just above .500.

One thing both teams usually seem to find is their power play. The Oilers come in with the 14th ranked man advantage scoring at a 21.7 percent clip. The Capitals bring the league’s best power play to this game, scoring at 35.9 percent clip. With neither team having a strong penalty kill, this team could very well be won on special teams. Edmonton and Washington will need to stay disciplined. If given the chance, look for McDavid to get his 5th power play goal of the season and for the Oilers to leave Washington DC with their third straight win.

The Oilers are 8-5 against the spread and 5-2 on the road. Edmonton has scored 40 goals and allowed 37. They’re 6-7-0 on the over/under and 4-3-0 on the road. The Oilers are 7-6 on the puck line and 3-4 on the road. Edmonton came into the season at +3500 to win the Stanley Cup and are now +2500 over at BetOnline. Any team with McDavid is always worth a future and if they continue to play this way and maybe add a piece via a trade at some point, you just never know.

McDavid leads the team in goals (9), assists (12) and points with 21. His linemate Leon Draisaitl has 7 goals and 7 assists and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 3 goals and 11 assists. Defenseman Oscar Klefbom has six assists.

The Capitals are 5-7 against the spread and 3-3 at home. Washington has scored 46 goals and allowed 47. They’re 9-2-1 on the over/under and 5-1-0 at home. The Caps are 5-7 on the puck line and 2-4 at home. The Capitals came into the season at +1400 to repeat and are now +1600. They too may also be worth a future because if and when they get on track, they are definitely capable of repeating, especially coming out of the wide-open Eastern Conference.

Forward Evgeny Kuznetsov is having his breakout season and leads the team in points with 17. Ovechkin leads the team in goals with 10 lamplighters and Nicklas Backstrom leads the team in assists with 12 helpers. Defenseman Matt Niskanen has 2 goals and 5 assists to lead the Caps blueline.

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Mikko Koskinen became the fourth goaltender to earn wins in each of his first three appearances with the @EdmontonOilers.

The others:
Kari Takko (3-0-0 in 1990-91)
Curtis Joseph (3-0-0 in 1995-96)
Martin Gerber (3-0-0 in 2010-11)#NHLStats pic.twitter.com/bSJZOJLt3a

— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) November 4, 2018
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Goaltending Match-Up
  • For the Oilers, Cam Talbot is 5-4-0 with a 2.81 GAA and .904 save percentage.
  • 30-year old rookie Mikko Koskinen is off to a brilliant start to his NHL career at 3-0-0 with a 2.01 GAA and .935 save percentage.
  • For the Caps, Braden Holtby is 4-3-0-2 with a 3.62 GAA and .888 save percentage.
  • Rookie Pheonix Copley is 1-1-0-1 with a 3.55 GAA and .882 save percentage
M*A*S*H Report
  • For the Oilers, defenseman Andrej Sekera is on long-term injury reserve after surgery on his Achilles.
  • For the Caps, defenseman Brooks Orpik is day-to-day with a lower-body injury.

Prediction: Oilers 4 Capitals 1

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