Free Hockey Picks for Flyers vs. Lightning

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, April 10, 2014 12:59 PM GMT

Tampa Bay and Philadelphia square off in an Eastern Conference showdown tonight. Our NHL betting odds guru has isolated value on the total in this game, and will lend you a hand in succeeding with your sports picks.

Posturing for Position in the East
The Lightning host the Flyers on Thursday at the Tampa Bay Times Forum with the opening face-off slated for 7:35 PM ET. According to NHL betting odds the Lightning is a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. The Lightning is 5-0 in their last 5 at home versus the Flyers. These teams have seen just 1 of their last 8 meetings stay under the total.

[gameodds]7/261529/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Flyers Breathe a Bit Easier
The Flyers can exhale a bit, even though they haven’t officially clinched a playoff spot as of yet. However, they’re coming off a pair of identical 5-2 wins at Florida on Tuesday and on home ice versus Buffalo this past Sunday. It would take a highly unlikely scenario to occur over the last few days of the regular season in order for the Flyers to miss the playoffs at this juncture. As a matter of fact they’re just 2-points behind the New York Rangers for 5th overall in the Eastern Conference, and have 1-game in hand on “The Blue Shirts”. The Flyers have gone over the total in their last 3-games. Philadelphia has seen just 5 of their last 30 road games stay under the total. This will be their 4th game in the last 6-days, and they’ve failed to see any of their previous 8 stay under the total in that exact situation.

 

Lightning Strikes Again
The Lightning put the final nail in the coffin of the Toronto Maple Leafs in regards to their playoff chances, shutting them out 3-0 at home on Tuesday. The Lightning has now earned at least 1-point in 29 of their 39 home games this season. Tonight will be the 5th of a mammoth 6-game 12-day home stand for the Lightning which has seen them go 2-2 thus far. They’ve seen 4 of their last 5-games go under the total. They enter tonight 4th in the Eastern Conference standings trailing Montreal by just 3-points for the 3rd overall spot, and they have 1-game in hand on the Canadians. Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 2-10 versus the money line in their last 12 after allowing 2-goals or less in their previous game.

 

NHL Betting System
Any road team with a total of 5.5 which has played 8 or more games in the last 14-days, and both teams in the contest have a money line win percentage of between .510 to .600, has seen 49 of those 68-games (72.1%) go under the total during the last 18 seasons. Bet this game to go under the total for your NHL picks.

Hockey Pick: Flyers/Lightning to go under the total of 5.5.