Free Hockey Picks for Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, April 1, 2014 12:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 1, 2014 12:28 PM UTC

Tampa Bay host Montreal in a pivotal NHL Eastern Conference battle tonight. Our NHL expert analyzes the sports betting odds in this game, and finds some hidden value on the total.


Crucial Eastern Conference Battle
The Tampa Bay Lightning will host the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday with the opening face-off slated for 7:35 PM ET. According to NHL betting odds the Lightning is a -140 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.0. These teams have seen all 3 meetings this season go under the total, and all of those contests ended in identical 2-1 scores. Montreal is currently 2nd in the Atlantic Division, and 3rd overall in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay is 3rd in the Atlantic, and 4th overall in the East. The Lightning trail the Canadiens by just 2-points, and have a game in hand on Montreal. Saying this is a huge game regarding Eastern Conference playoff scenarios is an understatement.


Canadiens are Sizzling Hot
Montreal enters tonight having won their last 5, and 8 of the last 9-games. This will be their 3rd of a 4-game in 9-day road swing for the Canadiens. They last played on Saturday in a 4-1 win at Florida. Montreal has gone a profitable 7-2 in their last 9-games when playing on 2-days of rest. They've now won their last 5 road games in a row, and have gone under the total in 8 of 9-games this season following a win by 3-goals or more.

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Huge Upcoming Home Stand
This will be the 1st of a 6-game in 11-day home stand for Tampa Bay. Following this upcoming home stand they will have just 1 regular season game remaining, and that finale will be at Washington. The Lightning are coming off a 3-2 loss at Detroit on Sunday. This will be their 3rd game in the last 4-days, and they've gone a dismal 1-5 in their last 6-games in that exact situation. The Lightning have gone over the total in 6 of the last 8, and 8 of their last 12-games overall.


NHL Betting System
Any road team with a total of 5.0 that's won 4 consecutive games in a row, and they have a money line winning percentage of between .510 to .600, versus an opponent with a winning record, has seen 64 of those 97-games (66%) go under the total during the last 18 seasons. I recommend readers to bet under the total of 5.0 for their NHL picks in this affair.

Hockey Pick: Lightning/Canadians to go under the total of 5.0

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