Follow the Trend and Take the 'Under' in Ducks-Oilers Game

Anaheim Ducks players

Dana Lane

Saturday, April 1, 2017 7:20 PM GMT

Recent history tells us that this match-up will be a low scoring affair as four of their last five meetings in Edmonton have gone under the ‘total’. Champion handicapper Dana Lane offers his insight as to why his readers should continue to follow this trend all the way to the cashier’s cage.

Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 

Early money has pushed this ‘total’ to 5 ‘over’ shaded to the ‘over’ -130 in most spots. So far 76% of all tickets written have been on the ‘over’ with professional money backing the public.

You can take advantage of a better number at BetDSI where they are offering a unique opportunity to create your own prop bet with their prop tool. 

Always monitor all line movements at SBR's NHL Odds.

From the Ducks perspective, they are very rarely a team that I count on to push games over a total. They are 20th in the league with just 29.9 shots per game and 19th in goals per game at 2.64 so it’s reasonable to anticipate that the Ducks won’t be getting in that 3-4 goals range that would damage our bet.

With the Ducks, just one point behind the Oilers for the Pacific Division lead I’m counting on the Ducks to lean on their strength which is defensive hockey, especially after their collapse against the Winnipeg Jets in which they relinquished a 3-1 second-period intermission advantage on Thursday. They’ll put an emphasis on a defensive game that’ll resemble what they’ll bring to the table once the postseason starts.

Offensively the Ducks will have to contend with the Oilers Cam Talbot who has established himself as one of the league premier goaltenders. Talbot is looking for his 40th win of the season to go along with his sparkling .921 save percentage and 2.37 goals average.  John Gibson won’t hit the 40 win mark for the Ducks but some of his numbers are better than Talbot’s with a .921 save percentage to match his outstanding goals against average of 2.28.

It’s reasonable to always expect a rock solid special team effort from the league 5th ranked penalty killing team.  Edmonton is ranked 13th in that category, reasonably eliminating big special team effort.

The Oilers will be without Tyler Pitlick (knee).  The Ducks are without forwarding Ryan Garbutt (shoulder) and defenceman Simon Despres (concussion).

Let’s get to the window to get some of this plus money winner.

 

Free NHL Pick: Under 5Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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