Flyers, Panthers Will Continue to Produce 'Unders' on Thursday Best Bet

Dana Lane

Thursday, December 28, 2017 4:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 28, 2017 4:47 PM UTC

Fourteen of the last 21 meetings between the Flyers and Panthers have resulted in an 'under' total. The puck drops between the two in south Florida tonight at 7:30 ET.

 

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Philadelphia Flyers at Florida PanthersFree NHL Pick: Under 5.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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If you’re relying on offense to cash an OVER bet tonight, history isn’t on your side. The Philadelphia Flyers are just 15-25-5 when facing the Panthers with an average of just 2.59 goals per visit. Overall, there isn’t much of a statistical improvement no matter where they play. The Flyers are just 34-45-14 overall, averaging just 2.64 goals per game.

I don’t put too much into what happened over time, but this trend has given us a more recent reason to believe in our UNDER bet. Yes, I know the last meeting was a 5-1 Flyers win over Florida, pushing the game OVER, but a closer look will show that outside a 15-minute window in the second period when the Flyers erupted for four goals, 45 minutes of this game was an UNDER with both Roberto Luongo and Michal Neuvirth coming up with big efforts. Neither will get the start Thursday, but tonight’s starters in net have given me a reason to be confident that we’ll see a similar effort, although I don’t expect almost 80 shots in this one.

James Reimer gets the start for the Panthers, not exactly a name you want associated with an UNDER ticket, but lately he’s looked more comfortable. During the Panthers' small win streak, Reimer has posted a .964 save percentage against Arizona, Ottawa and Minnesota. Outside of those teams, It’s fair to say that Reimer hasn’t played poorly since an overtime loss to Chicago less than three weeks ago. Truth is, Chicago will make a lot of goaltenders look bad, so if you push that game aside it hasn’t been since the Colorado game on Dec. 9 that you could say Reimer has had a bad loss. That’s seven straight games/appearances where you can say Reimer has been good with a straight face.

On the other side, perhaps we’re seeing the beginning of a streak of solid play for the Flyers' ' Brian Elliott. He allowed just two goals on 35 shots to the Sabres last Friday and followed that effort up with a 1-0 SO loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets. He’ll start his 12th straight game, which has allowed him to get in a good rhythm, not having to look over his shoulder at Michal Neuvirth. In eight of Elliot’s last 10 starts he’s allowed two goals or less.

The Panthers are well aware that they can’t allow the Flyers to play an up-tempo style because that didn’t work in the first meeting. Both of these teams are desperate for a win, and that equals defense. The first thing teams do when they’re not going well is look to the goaltenders and blueliners to get them through.

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