NHL Odds: Ducks To Slide Past Oilers In Pacific Showdown

Dana Lane

Wednesday, January 25, 2017 2:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2017 2:55 PM UTC

The surprising Edmonton Oilers are making a run at the Pacific Division lead, but read why NHL handicapper Dana Lane believes that the run will hit a temporary pot hole in Anaheim on Wednesday night. 

2016-2017 NHL Selection Record:  51-42 (+14.65 Units)

The Detroit Red Wings and Boston Bruins cruised 'over' the total for another win Tuesday for my readers as we are one victory away from hitting a season-high 10 games over .500.  If you've followed my plays from Day 1, you would have now hit 13 of our last 21 NHL selections and five of our last six. 

We see 5Dimes has the Ducks as -140 favorites Wednesday against visiting Edmonton. I see the number as high as -150 so please shop at all SBR approved sportsbooks.

The Oilers are coming off a three-day break, while the Ducks are playing their 12th game in 22 days.  So naturally most bettors would gravitate toward the more-rested team -- but this is not the correct way to approach it.  Don't overreact to the whole "playing every other day is going to grind a team down" theory.  I'm not saying it's not a relevant factor at times, but these coaches are well aware of their schedules and game plan accordingly.  In fact, the team that has played more seems to often be in more of a rhythm early on vs. one that has been off for a few days. 

The Ducks have an obvious special teams advantage here. Anaheim has always been good down a man but seems to be getting stronger in that regard. The Ducks are ranked 9th in penalty kills (83.2%), but over their last 14 games their PK has killed off opponents' power plays at a 90.39% rate.  That would be good enough to rank No. 1 over a full season. Why is this significant? Because when you win the battle of special teams, you are essentially  demoralizing your opponent by telling them that they aren't good enough to score with one extra skater.

Not only can Randy Carlysle's team kill penalties. but they will make you pay with the man advantage as well (22%, 8th). So the Ducks have locked up the special teams advantage.

I'm a big believer in the Edmonton Oilers.  The one difference that I have take into consideration is how much big-game experience they own, especially with the Oilers trailing the Ducks by just three points in the Pacific Division. This constitutes a big game for me, so let's grab the Ducks ast hey simply have the advantage in some key areas.

NHL Free Pick: Ducks -140Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3037510, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,999996,300,1096], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here