Devils & Penguins To Trade Goals Tonight In Friday Night Action

Dana Lane

Friday, December 23, 2016 8:49 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 23, 2016 8:49 PM UTC

The 'over' has stormed to a 21-6-2 record in the Penguins last 29 games, and today they are playing the New Jersey Devils in what could be a high-scoring matchup. Capper Dana lane provides his insight on this game and a free pick.

2016-2017 NHL Selection Record:   36-28   .563   +16.84 units

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New Jersey Devils vs Pittsburgh Penguins                 

It's no secret that bookmakers seem to be more willing to put up totals of six recently than they were early in the season when games seemed to fly over 'totals'. The over/under on this game stuck out to me because this game doesn't feature two teams with amazing offensive potential, it features one. 

The Devils are 27th in the league in shots per game (28.2) while averaging 2.41 goals per game (24th). I would have expected this number to be 5.5 with a -125 to -130 shade to the 'over'. Maybe my number is more accurate or maybe the book is trying to get the consumer to play the 'under' which is what the 'Joes' and 'Pro's' have done. Over 66% of the tickets written on this game have come in on the 'under' pushing the number to be shaded 'under' -115 from it's opener of -110. I'm positive that most believe that they are in good shape to win their play considering that both teams have to score seven to lose. New Jersey have allowed 15 scoring chances or less only six times in their first 29 games, playing five on five hockey. They have tightened their defense down as of late but until I see them do it against Pittsburgh I still can't trust that they have become defensively reliable.

Despite last night's shutout of the Flyers, New Jersey has been a team that is no stranger to giving up quality offensive chances. The Devils are seventh in the league in shots allowed (31.5) and 23rd in goals allowed (2.91). They face a Penguins team that was embarrassed by the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-1 Thursday night. You can bet there will be plenty of motivated faces in the Pittsburgh locker room looking to atone for the defeat in a big way.

There is some in-game motivation for Pittsburgh who is seventh in the league on the power play (21.8). Last time these two met Pittsburgh was 0-5 with the extra attacker.

With both teams playing last night it also brings up the element of possible fatigue which most see as a sign of a game going 'under'. My perspective is fatigue leads to more turnovers which lead to quality offensive chances.

As always, please check out the best available lines at SBR approved sportsbooks.Free NHL Pick: Over 6Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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