Daily NHL Picks: Profit Playing These Totals Despite Short Slate

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, November 11, 2015 3:30 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015 3:30 PM UTC

Because of the extremely small sampling of NHL odds from the sportsbooks today, have to get a little more creative today. With only two games, we will look into more of the options available.

We will look at the money line, total and even see if the puck line has any value for NHL picks.

If you like big underdogs, it does not get any better than last night as all three -200 or more favorites lost on home ice, which is a real rarity.

Let's move on, but before I do, if you are an Veteran or someday will be and are reading this, I salute you and say "Thank you".


Montreal vs. Pittsburgh
Not many teams could lose their top goaltender and just keep rolling along, but Montreal is, as they get ready to invade Pittsburgh. The Canadiens (13-3 SU) are 6-0-1 with rookie Mike Condon between the pipes, taking over for the league's reigning MVP Carey Price. All Condon has done in Price's absence due to injury is have a 1.57 goals against average and .950 save percentage, which is the best in the league for any goalie with seven or more starts.

Of course Condon has attributes in front of him that are rather strong, like the best offense in the NHL at 3.69 goals a game. If you follow the -plus/minus ratings - (for those unfamiliar, these are tallied for players who are on the ice when goals are scored for or against), Montreal only has five of the Top 10 players in this category and they are P.K. Subban (+11), Max Pacioretty (+10), Brendan Gallagher (+10), Tomas Plekanec (+9) and Andrei Markov (+9).

Have to admit, I was little stunned to see Pittsburgh's NHL odds at -140 at Wagerweb for this encounter. As case can justify this figure with the Penguins 9-2 SU in last 11 contests. Pittsburgh lost their last contest 5-2 at Calgary, but that was at the end of four-game road trip and third contest in four days.

I expect both teams to be very intense for November contest, with something to prove. The Pens have lost three in a row on home ice to the Canadiens, but Montreal offers a lot value as +120 underdog for sports picks and is 8-0 after allowing two goals or less in three straight games this season. There is a potential safety net on the puck line with the Habs at +1.5, but it will cost you -260.

With the total at Ov5 (-125), this hockey handicapper notes none of the last four games have gone Over (2-0-2 UNDER) and with expected intensity, do not look for that to change. Pittsburgh is already 9-2 UNDER this season and the Canadiens are 6-0 UNDER after playing four consecutive home games the last three seasons.

NHL Pick: Under 5 +105 at Heritage

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2861525, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Edmonton vs. Anaheim 
After a deplorable 1-9 SU October, Anaheim (5-10 SU) began the climb up the steep mountain by winning first four contests this month, before mental lapses caused home setback to Arizona on Monday.  The Ducks scoring has been getting better with 14 goals in last five outings, yet they still are last in the NHL at 1.60 goals a game.

Since three-game winning streak three weeks ago, the Edmonton (5-10 SU) has lost six of eight. The defense has been the biggest culprit in failure, giving up 30 goals and with 2015 overall No. 1 pick Connor McDavid out with a broken clavicle, the offense is bound to suffer also.

Anaheim is a -180 favorite and while this might sound overvalued given the teams present records, it is not. The Ducks have won six in a row on home ice versus the Oilers and 21 of last 25, which sure gives the appearance of domination.

There is no reason to consider the puck line, but might take a look at the total at Under 5.5 (-130) because of Anaheim's general lack of offense and having 11-1 UNDER record off a home loss by a goal.

NHL Pick: Under 5.5 -130 at TheGreek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2861526, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here