Daily Free NHL Picks: Cash In With Our Top Value Plays For Wednesday

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, February 17, 2016 2:42 PM GMT

Often times looking at the odds can be complicated, like today's college hoops card with many options. But today in hockey, there's only three games and we need 3 NHL picks.

In what could be a Stanley Cup preview, Washington scored three unanswered goals over Los Angeles at home in a 3-1 victory last night. As promised, we said we expected a winning day and delivered with St. Louis (in OT no less) and Anaheim coming through, but was flat out amazed New Jersey goaltender Cory Schneider was beaten five times in 6-3 home loss to Philadelphia.

Time to get to today's NHL picks in order of preference starting with best bet first.

 

Montreal's Latest Problem Costs Them In Colorado
After winning three straight home games, Montreal (27-30 SU) was giving the appearance their two month folly of bumbling play was over and they would perform at least similar to how they did in October and November. The loss at Buffalo was unexpected Friday, losing 6-4, having just lost to the Sabres at home nine days earlier. With three days between games, the Canadiens were thought to avoid first-ever sweep to the Arizona Coyotes and instead were nuked 6-2.

That leaves Montreal 1-7 SU in last eight road games and they have surrendered outrageous 4.5 goals a game. Little doubt the goaltenders are struggling, but what about the Montreal defenders, who are out of position by taking too many chances and providing little support. The NHL odds have the Canadiens as +105 road underdogs at Colorado (29-30 SU), who is only 12-17 at home, but is 11-5 after a two goals or more loss. Also, the Habs are dolorous 0-9 away after playing in two straight games where seven or more total goals were scored the last three seasons.

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Free NHL Pick: Colorado -120
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Rangers Round Up Blackhawks In Big Apple
This Original Six showdown has importance for both teams. Chicago (37-23 SU) has fallen into second place in the Central Division and while they still have 22 games to play, two of their three Stanley Cup championships have come as division champions. New York (32-24 SU) is playing once again like the club we saw in the first part of the season in taking five of six and is starting to welcome back important players back from injury.

This game will be on NBCSN tonight and after the Rangers opened as a -120 favorite, the two teams have been back and forth as very small favorites. We will side with the home team and here is why. While we have deep admiration for Chicago and know their capabilities, the fact is they are only 15-14 SU on the road this season. New York on the other hand is 21-8 SU at MSG and has been able to control the style play versus the Blackhawks, winning four of five by keeping the scoring down and leading to UNDER being 4-0-1.

With the Blueshirts 18-5 at home when the total is 5 or less, New York is our play and consider the UNDER.

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Free NHL Pick: New York -110
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Special Teams Adds To Higher Score In Calgary
We would really like to give out Minnesota as a play having won seven of nine over Calgary, but queasy about backing a team that has lost 14 of 16, even if they are off a victory. Instead, our research finds the Wild penalty killers have been less than proficient in allowing seven goals in last 24 chances and they have fallen to 25th in this category at 78.3 percent.

However, that is nothing compared to the Flames who have conceded 15 goals in the past three contests and nine of them have come with the opposing team on the power play, evenly divided at three in each game. This has helped solidify how awful Calgary is in trying to stop teams when a man is down, with a league-worst 73.5 percent.

While both teams are in the bottom nine of power play scoring percentage (Wild 22nd and Flames 29th), their penalty killing percentages are even more alarming since they are for next to last in fewest man down chances given up. The total of 5 is already juiced to -140, thus please understand Minnesota is 6-0-1 OVER this month and Calgary is 8-2 OVER at home off a division battle.

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Free NHL Pick: Play Over
Best Line Offered: at Bovada