Confidence Level Sky High on Sabres-Canucks Total

Dana Lane

Friday, October 20, 2017 5:51 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 20, 2017 5:51 PM UTC

There are points in the season where I like to crank up my unit plays because of solid information or intuition. After the Flyers failed to score in their 1-0 loss, this game comes just at the right time.

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Vancouver Canucks vs Buffalo Sabres

The say that Buffalo hockey fans deserve to win is an understatement. No fan base has been more loyal without any pay off than Sabres fans. The offensive excuses have run out for the Sabres as they are relatively healthy but still rank near the bottom of the league in goals scored (2.57, 23rd). Even worse is the Vancouver Canucks at 27th averaging just 2.50 goals per game. These are the numbers that cause odds makers to put a heavy price on the ‘under’. For some reason, the public have jumped on the ‘over’ in the early going. Perhaps it’s the +117 that Matchbook is offering on the ‘over’ as over as every ticket so far has been written on the ‘over’ according the SBR odds page or it could just be the lack of confidence in Chad Johnson who will start in goal for Buffalo. Other line services have reported that the public is on the ‘over’ as well. Puck drops at 7:00 ET/4:00 PT.



Loui Eriksson (Knee Sprain) Out 4-6 weeks

Alexander Edler (Lower body) Placed on IR (10/16)



Zemgus Girgensons (Lower body injury) Day to day after blocking at shot against Vegas

Josh Gorges (Lower Body Injury) Day to day


Starting Goaltenders: Vancouver Jacob Markstrom, 1-2-1, .901, 2.88 GA (Likely) Buffalo Chad Johnson, 1-1-1, .863, 4.08 GA (Confirmed)

I’m going to bank on some tired Canucks legs tonight. Vancouver is finishing up their East Coast trip with the second of a back to back. Last night they dropped a 6-3 decision to the Boston Bruins making me thing that a slower, methodical pace will be their game plan especially against the Sabres who should be fresh who haven’t played since Tuesday. The 1st period will give us an indication of how our large wager is going because if the Canucks can impose a slower pace and keep the game close then our wager is in good shape especially when knowing that Buffalo is counting on jumping on the tired Canucks early.

We do have a line-up shuffle for the Sabres and everyone knows how I feel about betting ‘overs’ when there is a change. Justin Baily will skate with the Sabres second line of Kyle Okposo and Ryan O’Reilly, giving the young left winger a promotion of sorts.

From a trend perspective there isn’t much to grab on as this has been an ‘over’ series but I’m banking that Chad Johnson comes up big for Buffalo against the Canucks who shouldn’t have much left in the tank as the game progresses.

Only ten days ago both teams combined for 11 goals but somehow left all their scoring in Nashville. Before you make your NHL pick, make sure to shop for the best line because most numbers out there are asking you to lay as much as -130. Matchbook gives us the best number on the ‘under’ as we’re cranking up our wager to 6.5 units. 

Free NHL Pick: ‘under’ 5.5 -123Best Line Offered: at Matchbook
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