Cappers Focus NHL Picks on Total in Wild vs. Canucks

Ross Benjamin

Friday, February 28, 2014 3:45 PM GMT

Friday, Feb. 28, 2014 3:45 PM GMT

The Canucks host the Wild on Friday at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia with the opening faceoff slated for 10:05 PM ET. Find out why we are looking at the total for our NHL picks in this battle.

According to NHL betting odds the Canucks are a -150 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.0. Vancouver has won 11 of their last 12 home games versus Minnesota. These teams haven’t seen any of their last 6 meetings in Vancouver go over the total.

Friday's Top NHL Plays

Win Doesn’t Solve Scoring Woes

The Vancouver Canucks captured a much needed win 1-0 at home on Wednesday versus a very good St. Louis Blues team. The win enabled the Canucks to snap a 7-game losing streak, and was just their 5th victory in their last 21-games. However, what wasn’t resolved was the Canucks inability to snap out of their ongoing scoring funk. Vancouver has now scored 2-goals or less in 7 of the last 8, and 13 of their last 16-games. Entering tonight’s game the Canucks have seen just 9 of their first 29 home games go over the total. Vancouver has earned at least 1-point in 20 of their 29 home games this season. The Canucks have also gone under the total in 12 of 13-games this season following a 1-goal win.

Wild Wins Again

The Minnesota Wild is coming off a 3-0 shutout win at Edmonton last night. Last night’s win was the 3rd in a row for Minnesota, and they’ve also earned at least 1-point in 7 of their last 8-games. The Wild have gone over the total in just 8 of their first 30 road games this season. They allow just 2.4 goals per game which is good for 7th best in the NHL. With 22-games left to play in the regular season the Wild are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race.  They enter tonight’s game their 4th in the Central Division, and are 7th overall in the Western Conference. 

[gameodds]7/256858/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]

Final Analysis

With the Wild playing low scoring games on the road in the majority of cases this season, and a Vancouver team that currently can’t put the puck in the ocean, the general public is sure to unload on the under in this contest. It’s never that easy, and for that reason alone I’m going to take the contrarian approach. Below is a NHL totals betting system which supports my theory.

Any home team with a total of 5.0 or less that averages 2.55 or less goals per game, and has scored 1-goal or less in each of their last 2-games, has seen 82 of those 124-games (66.1%) go over the total in the last 18 seasons.

Free Pick: Minnesota/Vancouver to go over the total of 5.0

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