Capitals vs. Red Wings Underdog Value Play

Ross Benjamin

Friday, November 15, 2013 2:33 PM GMT

The Detroit Red Wings host the Washington Capitals on Friday at Joe Louis Arena with the opening face-off set for 7:35 PM ET. Who should we be backing with our sports picks in this situation?


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Friday 11/15/2013

Washington Capitals (10-9) @ Detroit Red Wings (9-10)

According to NHL betting odds Detroit is a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. The game will be televised in the United States on the NHL Network. The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs. They’ve also seen 5 of the last 7 encounters go under the total.

Overtime Doldrums for the Wings

Detroit enters tonight losers of their last 4 in a row, including each of the last 3 coming in overtime. This will be the Red Wings 4th and final game of their home stand. Detroit will play in Long Island tomorrow night, and then will return to Joe Louis Arena for a 3-game home stand. Detroit last played on Tuesday losing 3-2 in an overtime shootout to the Winnipeg Jets, despite outshooting the Jets 43-21 for the game. In the first 2-games of the home stand the Red Wings relinquished 2-goal leads versus both Tampa Bay, and Dallas before falling in overtime. Detroit is a dismal 5-16 in their last 21-games when playing on exactly 2-days of rest.

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Very Special Teams

The Washington Capitals special teams units have been absolutely terrific so far this season. The power play has converted on 25.6% of their chances which is good for 2nd in the NHL. The Capitals penalty killing is #1 in the NHL as they’ve thwarted 89.2% of opponent’s man advantage situations. Washington enters tonight winners in 5 of their last 7-games. They last played on Tuesday and defeated Columbus 4-3 in overtime. Mikhail Grabovski tied the game for the Capitals with just 1:45 to go in the 3rd period, and Alexander Ovechkin scored the game winner in sudden death. Washington has lost 4 of its last 5 on the road. The Capitals are 8-1 in their last 9-games when playing on exactly 2-days of rest.

 

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Final Analysis

Based on both teams recent play, the value in my eyes clearly lies with the road underdog here for our NHL picks. The special teams of the Capitals hold a huge advantage over the Red Wings, and look for that to be the difference in tonight’s contest.

Free Pick: Capitals +125 over the Red Wings