Canadiens vs. Senators NHL Picks: Back Ottawa to Get Back in the Series in Game 3

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, April 18, 2015 5:19 PM GMT

Saturday, Apr. 18, 2015 5:19 PM GMT

We’ll examine Game 3 of the NHL Eastern Conference playoff series between Montreal and Ottawa that resumes on Sunday. Will Ottawa be able to recover from a gut wrenching overtime loss on Friday? Can Montreal display the killer instinct needed in order to gain a 3-0 lead in the series? Read and learn!

Battle of Eastern Canada Round 3
The Ottawa Senators return home on Sunday for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Playoff series versus the Montreal Canadiens. Montreal is coming off a thrilling 3-2 overtime win in Game 2 which propelled them to a 2-0 series lead. According to the NHL betting odds at Heritage, Ottawa is a -128 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. Ottawa has won both games at home versus Montreal this season by scores of 4-1 and 4-2. Ottawa has now gone 7-2 against Montreal over the past three seasons at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa.

 

Canadiens on a Winning Roll heading to Ottawa
The Montreal Canadiens head into Sunday’s game at Ottawa winners of five in a row. However, it must be noted, the last four of those victories each came by a narrow one goal margin. The 3-2 victory in Game 2 of the series pushed against the total of 5.0. Montreal has now failed to see any of their previous eleven games go under the total.

 

Welcome back Home
The Ottawa Senators return home to play a game for the first time in thirteen days. Ottawa has gone a stellar 11-3 in the last fourteen at home, and that includes winning each of their last three. Those last three wins came versus some quality opponents in the Penguins, Capitals, and Lightning. Rookie goaltending sensation Andrew Hammond has gone a terrific 10-1 in eleven starts at home.

Shop for the best NHL betting odds offered by top sportsbooks

NHL Money Line Betting Angle
Montreal won the first two games of this series at home by scores of 4-3 and 3-2. This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable money line betting angle which has aced the test of time. I’ll be utilizing that handicapping asset when making my NHL picks for Sunday.

Any home team that’s -100 to -150 on the money line, playing with same season double revenge stemming from a pair of losses that each came by one goal, and they’re coming off two or more road losses in a row, resulted in that home team going 33-9 (78.6%) since the 1996-1997 NHL campaign began. The average money line for the home team in those forty-two contests was -124, and they had a large +1.4 goal per game differential despite the nine losses.

NHL Pick: Play Ottawa -128 on the money line over Montreal at Heritage.

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