Canadiens, Leafs to Float Under the ‘total’ at Air Canada

Dana Lane

Saturday, March 17, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 17, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

The ‘Under’ in Montreal road games are 14-6 in their last 20 road games.

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple LeafsFree NHL Pick: Under 6Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

The Montreal Canadiens (26-33-12, 64pts, -44) travel to Toronto to face the Maple Leafs (42-22-7, 91pts, +35) their bitter rival, at the Air Canada Centre. The puck drops at 7:00 ET/4:00 PT and can be seen on the NHL Network, CBC, TVAS, and Sportsnet.

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Following the @NHL Trade Deadline, the @MapleLeafs enter the final stretch of the regular season.#TheLeaf: Blueprint S03 E09 presented by @Molson_Canadian

WATCH » #TMLtalk

— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) March 16, 2018

The Maple Leafs opened as a -205 favorite with very little movement early on. I’m proud of the public because this isn’t a number that people should be excited to be involved in. I’m more interested in the ‘total’ which opened at 6, -120 (under). There has been some ‘over’ money trickling in, pushing the number down to -115 (under) at Heritage which is the number I jumped on. Make sure to get to the SBR Odds page to for the latest and best number.

I’m not sure this is possible but these two teams haven’t met since November when the Maple Leafs went to Bell Centre and handed Claude Julien’s team a 6-0 loss. Frederick Andersen made 33 saves while Shea Weber and Jordie Benn were a combined -6 on the blueline.

Starting Goaltenders: Montreal Canadiens Charlie Lindgren (4-7-2, .907, 2.95)-Confirmed

Toronto Maple Leafs Curtis McElhinney (9-4-1, .931, 2.25)-Probable

There has been some talk that Auston Mathews and Frederik Andersen would be ready for this one but as of now, we know that Curtis McElhinney will get the start in net for the Leafs. This may lead many to jump on the ‘over’ once the information trickles down to the line services but that’s only because many haven’t seen McElhinney play. In his last five games, he’s only allowed more than three goals once and has allowed just three goals in his last four appearances. Against the Sabres, his first start since February 27th, Buffalo fired 19 shots on net only to still be outscored 2-1 in the period. That was the game where I made a note to remember that this guy can handle a ton of shots and has the ability to carry a team, for how long remains to be seen but I can bet this game with some level of confidence in the Leafs netminder who is 6-0-1 in his last eight appearances.

If you’re a trend bettor, you see a lot of reasons to play the ‘over’ but keep in mind a lot of those numbers are based on 5.5, not the 6 that we have tonight. Plus, you have to take into account the amount of disdain between these two clubs. You can bet that everyone will be giving a max effort on Hockey Night in Canada. This is essentially the Stanley Cup for the Habs who are in a double revenge spot.

Key Statistic: Montreal Canadiens 2.54 goals per game (28th)

Toronto Maple Leafs 34.1 shots per game (4th)

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