Maple Leafs Poised For Payback Against Ailing Bruins On Monday

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, November 25, 2018 5:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 25, 2018 5:00 PM UTC

Toronto didn’t allow its modest losing streak to fester as they blitzed Philadelphia 6-0 on Saturday night, while Boston eked out a 3-2 win over Montreal. Let’s take a look at this Monday night matchup. 

Boston (13-10 SU, -0.6 units) at Toronto (16-8, +4.4 units)Monday, 7 p.m. ETFree NHL Pick: Maple Leafs MLBest Line Offered: Bovada

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The Bruins have now won three of their last four after a 3-2 win over archrival Montreal. Ironically, Boston’s spate of winning began after they lost top point-getter Patrice Bergeron to the DL with an upper-body injury that will sideline the superstar for up to six weeks. Although the Bruins have won without him, it won’t be long before their lack of firepower will ultimately rear its head. Boston is ranked 22nd in goals per game (2.83) yet tied for first place in goals against, yielding just 2.39 goals per game. A week ago the Bruins were desperately shorthanded of blueliners but the defensive corps is starting to get healthy but their captain, Zdeno Chara, will be on the shelf for at least another month with a right MCL issue suffered on November 14 against the Avalanche.

The Maple Leafs dropped two on the road, to Carolina and Columbus, before welcoming the Flyers to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night and sending them home with a 6-0 beating. Second-year man Andreas Johnsson notched a hat trick before the game was 13 minutes old.

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The last two first-period hat tricks in a @MapleLeafs uniform:

Andreas Johnsson: Nov. 24th, 2018
Wendel Clark: Oct. 11th, 1986 pic.twitter.com/M5ayYU6dVz

— NHL (@NHL) November 25, 2018
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John Tavares, Patrick Marleau and Josh Leivo also found the back of the net and backup netminder Garret Sparks was sharp in relief with a 35-save shutout. The Leafs rank in the top 10 in goals scored, goals against and power-play percentage, and are just outside at No. 11 in penalty-killing percentage. In short, they are a deeper and healthier team than the one they face on Monday night.

The Maple Leafs are 10-6 vs. the Bruins over the last three seasons and will undoubtedly be looking for atonement from their 5-1 loss to Boston earlier this month. Despite the fact that Boston has gotten outstanding play from backup goalie Jaroslav Halak (8-2-2, 1.98 GAA, .939 save percentage), chances are we will see incumbent starter Tuukka Rask between the pipes, and right now that’s a disadvantage to anyone backing the B’s in their NHL picks. Monitor the NHL odds board to get the sharpest line on Toronto because they are too quick up front for a depleted Boston defensive corps and will have starter Frederik Andersen tending the twine, a lockdown goalie who will give the Boston forwards fits.

Below are some stats to consider:

  • Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
  • Maple Leafs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games.
  • Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
  • Bruins are 0-4 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Don’t overthink it, just play it: Maple Leafs win on Monday night.

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