Betting System Applied to Avalanche/Wild Suggests Taking the 'Under' for NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, February 7, 2015 5:17 PM GMT

We’ll be previewing tonight’s NHL Central Division game between Colorado and Minnesota. We invite you to read our detailed NHL betting preview article pertaining to this contest, and it culminates with a selection on the total.

A Wild Avalanche Affair
The Minnesota Wild will host the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday at 8:05 PM ET. According to the NHL odds at BetOnline, Minnesota is a -170 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. These teams have met twice this season with Minnesota winning both of those contests by scores of 3-0 and 5-0.

 

Two Red-Hot Goaltenders
Barring an unforeseen decision by either team, tonight’s starting goaltenders are slated to be Semyon Varlamov for the Colorado Avalanche and Devan Dubnyk for the Minnesota Wild. Varlamov has been terrific in his last four starts, compiling a stellar .942 save percentage. Devan Dubnyk has been magnificent over his previous four starts, posting an off the charts .974 save percentage, and he shutout the opposition in two of those contests.

For More NHL Action, Check Out Our Top NHL Picks for Tonight

Rocky Mountain Low Scoring
The Colorado Avalanche enter tonight having gone under the total in their last 3, and also saw just one of their previous seven games go over the total. They’ve averaged just 2.2 goals per game and allowed 2.4 goals per outing during their last ten times they’ve skated out on the ice. Colorado has gone under the total in eight of their last ten road games. The Avalanche has also gone a dismal 0-for-16 on the power play during their last five games.

 

Buyer Beware
If you’re contemplating making a wager on the heavily favorite Wild for one of your NHL picks tonight, I’d suggest proceeding with extreme caution. Colorado is coming off a 3-0 home loss to the Detroit Red Wings in their previous game. The Avalanche has gone a superb 23-4 the past two seasons following a home loss, and 12-1 during that time if that loss was by two or more goals. Colorado has also gone 41-16 the past two seasons versus opponents with a losing record against the money line.

 

Defensive Dynamo of Late
The Minnesota Wild has won four games in a row heading into tonight’s Central Division clash. During that winning streak they’ve allowed just 3-goals combined. As a matter of fact, Minnesota has shutout the opposition in three of their last eight games, and has allowed a paltry average of only 1.5 goals per contest in that stretch. The Wild has gone under the total in their last four games at home. Their penalty killing in recent games has been superb. Opponents have cashed in on just one of their sixteen power play chances against the Wild over the last five games. Central Division opponents are just 6-for-53 (11.3%) on the power play against Minnesota this season.

 

NHL Betting System
Any road team (Colorado) that’s coming off a home loss by three goals or more, playing in the second half of the season, and both teams in the contest have a money line winning percentage of .400 to .490, has seen 39 of those 55-games (70.9%) go under the total since 1996.

NHL Pick: Play on Colorado and Minnesota to go under the total of 5.0 at BetOnline.