This Stanley Cup final has been very interesting to handicap and analyze against the betting odds. While the series is knotted up 2-2, let’s see if we can derive any trends for prop betting.
Over/Under Total Shots: Blackhawks Are Shooting Less
One of the prop NHL picks to keep an eye on is the over/under for Chicago Blackhawks shots. While they came into this series averaging a healthy 32.6 shots per game through the first three rounds, that number has tailed off significantly. They are averaging just 26.7 shots per game in the Stanley Cup final, which is very surprising. They’ve had a really tough time hitting the net – including in Game 4 when they had their backs up against the wall yet only mustered two shots in the opening 20 minutes.
If you’ve been betting under the NHL Odds on their props or if you had under in Ben Bishop saves for Game 3, as we did, then you’ve been doing very well. For whatever reason, the Blackhawks just haven’t been getting enough shots on net in the finals.
Big Guns Have Disappeared…On Both Sides
A lot of people have been playing props related to the big guns on both sides but so far, those bets have mostly gone awry. Tyler Johnson, who leads all postseason skaters in points, had 21 points heading into the Stanley Cup final but he has just one goal and one assist so far. That’s still better than the team’s top-line stud, Steve Stamkos, who has just one point in the entire series.
As for the Blackhawks, captain Jonathan Toews has managed to get on the scoresheet with just two points so far in the Cup finals while Patrick Kane, who at one point was a Conn Smythe Trophy frontrunner, has just one point.
The defensive pairings have been winning all of these matchups and a number of these stars have gone cold. Be careful betting any type of prop with these guys that expect them to score.
Blackhawks Continue To Be Strong Late In Series
This affects props in a number of ways but it’s worth noting that the Blackhawks continue to be so-so early in playoff series yet turn it up later, when it counts the most. We saw this against Nashville and Anaheim, and looking back – especially in the Anaheim series – a goal here or there and Chicago might have been knocked out of the playoffs.
We have seen the same thing in the Stanley Cup finals as the Blackhawks haven’t really played one complete, awesome game yet but they still find themselves in a 2-2 series tie. Under head coach Joel Quenneville, the Blackhawks are now 41-14 in Games 4, 5, 6 and 7 of playoff series, which is a scary thought for those who like Tampa Bay. Keep that in mind if you’re playing Blackhawks props the rest of the way.