Bet the 'Under' for Your NHL picks for Wild vs. Bruins

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 28, 2014 8:44 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2014 8:44 PM UTC

Our NHL betting odds expert examines tonight’s game between Minnesota/Boston that faces off at 7:05 PM ET. Read this informative NHL betting preview article that culminates with a free pick on the total.

Shocking Series Dominance
The Bruins will host the Wild today at the TD Garden in Boston with a 7:05 PM ET scheduled start time. According to the NHL betting odds at Heritage, the Bruins are a -150 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. These clubs split their two meetings last season with each team winning on home ice. You may be surprised to find out, the Wild has gone 11-3 in their franchise history versus the Bruins, and that includes 6-1 at the TD Garden.


Minnesota Meltdown at MSG
The Minnesota Wild was a 5-4 loser last night versus the Rangers at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Wild entered the 3rd period with a 3-0 lead, and were stunned by 5-goals during the final stanza by the Rangers on the way to a gut wrenching loss. The Wild entered last night #1 in the NHL allowing a paltry 1.0 goal per game, and had shutout 3 of their first 6-opponents. Even more shocking was the 3rd period performance by goaltender Darcy Kuemper who allowed those 5-goals on just 12 Ranger shots on net. Kuemper had entered last night’s game with an excellent .967 save percentage in his first 5-starts. The Wild have seen 18 of their 26 road games the last 2-seasons go under the total following a road loss. The Wild is listing Niklas Backstrom as their probable starting goaltender for today’s game.


Bruins Showing the Signs
After a somewhat disappointing start to the season, the Boston Bruins are starting to show signs of the elite team they’re expected to be. They’ve won 3 of the last 4, and are coming off a convincing 4-1 win at Toronto on Saturday. Boston has seen just 2 of their first 10-games go over the total, and that includes only 1 of the first 5 at home. Boston has seen 8 of their 9 home games stay under the total during the past 2-seasons when facing a Western Conference opponent. The Bruins have also gone a perfect 12-0 the last 2-seasons following a road win by 3-goals or more, and won those by an average of 2.3 goals per contest.


Final Analysis
As I alluded to earlier, the Bruins come off a 4-goal performance at Toronto in their previous game. Prior to the Wild’s 5-4 loss last night, they were a 7-2 winner at home versus the Tampa Bay Lightning. The combination of all these results sets up a profitable NHL odds that paves the way for one of my NHL picks today.

Any home team with a total of 5.0, that scored 4-goals or more in their previous game, versus an opponent that scored 4-goals or more in each of their previous 2-games, has seen 75 of those 118-games (63.6%) go under the total since 1996.

Free NHL Pick: Wild/Bruins to go under the total of 5.0 at 5Dimes

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