Bet Under in Maple Leafs vs. Stars in your NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, January 23, 2014 2:10 PM UTC

Thursday, Jan. 23, 2014 2:10 PM UTC

The Stars host the Maple Leafs on Thursday at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas with the opening faceoff slated for 8:05 PM ET. Let's find our NHL picks for this match-up by joining our handicapper as he breaks down the odds.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars

According to NHL betting odds Dallas is a -140 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.0. Toronto has won the last 3 meetings between these two clubs.

Go Leafs Go

The Leafs enter tonight’s game having won their last 6-games in a row. They’ve scored 4-goals or more in each of their last 5-games. Toronto has seen just 1 of their last 13-games go under the total. The recent hot streak has moved the Leafs into a 3rd place tie with Montreal in the Atlantic Division, and 4th overall in the Eastern Conference.

Tired and on the Move

Tonight will be the 3rd of a 4-game in 6-day road trip for the Leafs. It will also be their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Toronto is 4-1 versus the sportsbooks' money lines in their last 5-games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Toronto power play is 4th in the NHL converting on a stellar 22.9% of their chances. On a negative note, Toronto is dead last in the league allowing an average of 36.4 shots on goal per game.

A Much Needed Win

The Dallas Stars were able to stop the bleeding with a 4-0 home win over the Minnesota Wild in their previous game. The win was just their 2nd in the last 11-games. Kari Lehtonen stopped all 18 Minnesota shots on goal to earn his 2nd shutout of the season.

Is Home Cooking the Remedy?

This will be the 2nd of a 5-game home stand for the Dallas Stars. This is a crucial stretch for the Stars, and one of which can play them in, or out of playoff contention when it concludes. Entering today Dallas was 5th in the Central Division, 10th overall in the West, and 7-points behind Minnesota who currently holds on to the final playoff position in the conference. The Stars have gone a miserable 0-7 in their last 7-games against the money line versus Eastern Conference opponents.

NHL Betting System

Before we make our NHL picks for this game, lets consider some stats. Any road team that’s gone over the total in their last 3 or more games in a row, they average between 2.5 to 2.9 goals per game, versus an opponent that allows 2.9 or more goals per game, has seen 42 of those 58-games (72.4%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 year.

Free Pick: Toronto/Dallas to go under the total of 6.0

comment here