Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
According to NHL betting odds Pittsburgh is a -200 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. Pittsburgh has won the last 5 meetings between these clubs. These teams have seen 9 of their last 12 meetings go under the total.
This will be the first of a 3-game in 5-day road trip for the Capitals. They’ve gone 2-5 versus the money line in their last 7 road games and are 8-20 in their last 28 on the road versus an opponent with a better than .600 home winning percentage. This will also be their 3rd game in the last 4-days, and their 4th in the last 6. The Capitals have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 when playing their 3rd game in the last 4-days. Washington comes off a pair of identical 2-1 home overtime shootout losses, the last of which came last night at the hands of the San Jose Sharks. They’ve gone over the total just once in their last 9-games when playing with no rest. The Capitals are also just 1-5 in their last 6-games versus the money line following an overtime loss. Washington is currently tied for 2nd with Philadelphia in the Metropolitan Division trailing 1st place Pittsburgh by 16-points, and is tied for 5th overall in the Eastern Conference.
Well Rested and Red-Hot
Pittsburgh enters tonight’s game with 3 full days of rest. They were a 3-2 road winner at Calgary in their previous game last Saturday evening. That Penguins have now won 18 of their last 22-games overall, and have earned at least 1 point in 20 of the last 23. Pittsburgh is about as automatic as you can possibly be at home going 19-3 this season, and 42-10 in their last 52 overall at the Energy Consol Center. They’ve also dominated opponents from the Metropolitan Division winning 9 of their last 10 in that scenario.
NHL Betting System
Any road team that’s coming off a home loss in their previous game, and their playing with same season revenge from a shutout loss, has seen 27 of those 37-games (73%) go over the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. Taking those stats into consideration, we expect this one to go over 5.5 for our NHL pick.
Free Pick: Washington/Pittsburgh to go over the total of 5.5