The NHL betting lines don’t suggest that the Tampa Bay Lightning will manage to pick themselves up and survive Game 6 on the road as they face the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 6.
The Tampa Bay Lightning Can Win Because…
This series has been very close. Anything can happen and all it will take is one or two goals. These games are not blowouts as neither team is running away with it. That just means that one or two bounces for the Lightning in Game 6 is all it might take. Just look back to Game 5 where Chicago got a lucky break with Patrick Sharp getting an empty-net goal when Victor Hedman and Ben Bishop collided, and then their second goal was on a rebound that bounced right to Antoine Vermette.
The good news for Tampa Bay is they’ve been in this type of situation before. They blew a critical game in the conference finals in Game 6 when they could have closed it out and then they went on the road to New York in Game 7 and won at Madison Square Garden. That shows that they have the mental toughness to get this done.
And the other good news is that Ben Bishop looked strong in Game 5. There were question marks as to how healthy and effective he’d be but he turned out just fine. His performance will be crucial in Game 6.
The Chicago Blackhawks Can Win Because…
This is what they do. Chicago looked very sleep in the first three games of the series and Tampa Bay could have easily been up 3-0. However, they hung around, edged out the Lightning in Game 4 and have found a way to get ahead 3-2. Now they’re at home where they are 8-2 this postseason and they will have the Stanley Cup in their building on Monday night. Don’t expect them to let that thing walk away.
It’s become painstakingly evident that the Blackhawks are the best team at executing in the NHL. When they get chances, they capitalize. When they get opportunities to seal the deal, they clinch. This is their comfort zone. As for Tampa Bay, they’re getting weaker by the day. They’ve lost two straight to the Blackhawks, they’re trailing in this series and scratching their heads wondering how that happened, and they are dealing with injuries as Bishop isn’t 100% and Nikita Kucherov – a key member from the triplets line – could miss Game 6. Momentum has swung in Chicago’s favor and don’t expect them to let this one slip.
The best price I've seen for NHL picks on the Chicago Blackhawks was -155 at The Greek when the line opened. If you can get that line again or want to way in-game and maybe live bet it at that price, go for it. At -165, it’s too much juice.
With that being the case, I’ll make a small play on the under. Each of Chicago’s three wins in the series have been of the 2-1 variety, so since I’m expecting a Blackhawks win, I’ll look for bet under the NHL odds.
NHL Pick: Under at 5Dimes