Bet Maple Leafs +125 over the Kings

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, December 11, 2013 2:54 PM GMT

Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2013 2:54 PM GMT

The Maple Leafs host the Kings on Wednesday at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada with the opening faceoff slated for 7:35 PM ET. The Kings are riding a hot streak while the Maple Leafs keep their woes going. Let's look at the odds and find value in these NHL picks.

According to NHL betting odds the Kings are a -145 money line road favorite and the posted total is 5.0. Los Angeles has defeated Toronto in 5 of their last 6 meetings. These teams have seen 10 of their last 14 encounters stay under the total.

Quietly and Successfully

The Los Angeles Kings have flown under the radar a bit this season. While teams like Chicago, San Jose, Montreal, and Boston have received most of the ink, the Kings just keep piling up points on a nightly basis. They enter tonight riding a 4-game winning streak. The most recent of those wins came last night on the road versus a red-hot Montreal team in a dominating 6-0 victory. The Kings have now earned at least 1-point in 16 of their last 17-games, and have lost just 1-game in regulation time since November 2nd. 

Goaltending Continues to Shine

What’s even more impressive about this recent Kings hot streak, is they’ve accomplished the majority of it without the services of star goaltender Jonathan Quick, who has been sidelined by an injured groin since November 12th. Ben Scrivens has filled in for the injured Quick, and his performance has been nothing short of spectacular. In 13-starts this season Scrivens has posted an excellent 1.56 GAA, a stellar .943 save percentage, and has earned 3 shutouts. However in the last 2-games it’s been 23-year old Martin Jones who has been between the pipes. All Jones has done in those 2 outings is post 2 shutouts to improve to 3-0 on the season, with a 0.65 GAA, and a .973 save percentage. The Kings lead the NHL with 6 shutouts this season.

Spinning their Wheels

The Toronto Maple Leafs has had a hard to time revving up the engine again after getting off to a 6-1 start to the season. Since then they’ve gone just 10-14 in their last 24-games. The Leafs haven’t won in regulation time since a 5-2 home win over the New York Islanders on November 19th.  In their last game they were 5-2 losers at home to the Boston Bruins on Sunday night. Toronto has failed to go under the total in 10 of their last 12-games. They’ve allowed 33-goals in their last 8-games.

NHL Super System

Any money line home underdog of +100 to +150 that’s coming off a home loss, versus an opponent coming off a road shutout win is 26-12 (68.4%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. I'll add the Maple Leafs to our NHL picks.

Free Pick: Maple Leafs +125 over the Kings

[gameodds]7/249862/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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