Bet Capitals +110 over Lightning in your NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, January 9, 2014 12:45 PM GMT

Thursday, Jan. 9, 2014 12:45 PM GMT

The Lightning host the Capitals on Thursday at the Tampa Bay Times Forum with the opening faceoff slated for 7:35 PM ET. Let's take a look at the NHL odds for this match-up to find our picks.

Washington Capitals @ Tampa Bay Lightning

According to NHL betting odds Tampa Bay is a -145 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen their last 6 meetings all go over the total. The home team has won 12 of the last 13 meetings between these teams.

Capital Decline

The Washington Capitals enter tonight having lost their last 4, and 6 of their last 7-games. They last played on Saturday in a 5-3 loss at Minnesota. In that loss the Capitals outshot the Wild 30-11. Braden Holtby left a lot to be desired in goal by stopping just 6 of 11 shots. Holtby is 0-3 in his last 3 starts, allowing 15-goals, and posting a horrible .812 save percentage. Washington has lost 5 of their last 6 road games. The Capitals are currently 3rd in the Metropolitan Division, and 8th overall in the Eastern Conference.

There’s No Place like Home

Tampa Bay returns home to play their first game following a successful 3-1 road trip. The Lightning have now won 8 of their last 11-games overall. Tonight will be their 4th game in the last 6-days. Tampa has gone 19-7 in their last 26-games versus an opponent with a losing money line record. They’ve gone over the total in 4 of their last 5, and have gone under in just 2 of their last 10-games. The Lightning is currently 2nd in the Atlantic Division just 2-points behind the 1st place Boston Bruins, and are 3rd overall in the Eastern Conference. Following tonight’s game the Lightning will embark on a 3-game in 4-day road trip that begins Saturday in Philadelphia.

NHL Betting System

Any road underdog that converts 17.5% or better on the power play for the season, and they’ve had 30 or more shots on goal in each of their last 5-games, has gone 56-27 (67.5%) versus the money line since the beginning of the 2009-2010 year. We'll take the Capitals in our NHL picks considering these stats.

Free Pick: Capitals +125 over the Lightning

[gameodds]7/252462/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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