Bet Blues vs. Avalanche to Go 'Under' for Your NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, December 23, 2014 2:27 PM GMT

There’s a huge slate of games in the NHL on Tuesday, and we’ll be looking at the St. Louis/Colorado contest. Join us in reading our revealing piece that includes a NHL totals betting system that’s won 66% of the time since 1996, and has cashed on 8 of 9 occasions this season.

Blues playing at the Pepsi Center
The Colorado Avalanche will host the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday at the Pepsi Center in Denver. The opening faceoff is slated for 8:05 PM ET and the game will be televised by the NBC Sports Network. According to the NHL odds at Bookmaker, St. Louis is a -150 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. The Blues have defeated the Avalanche in both of their encounters this season. St. Louis also took 3 of 4 from Colorado a season ago, and none the last five meetings between these Central Division rivals have gone over the total. These teams haven’t seen any of their last six meetings played at the Pepsi Center in Denver go over the number.

 

Cracking their Tendencies
Prior to the start of this season, the St. Louis Blues have been involved in a plethora of low scoring games in recent years. However, that’s certainly hasn’t been the case this season, and more specifically during the past five weeks or so. The Blues have gone under the total in just 1 of the last 15, and 2 of their last 20-games overall. As a result, the major online sportsbooks have adjusted their total from 5.0 where it’s been regularly in the past few seasons to 5.5 on certain occasions recently. As a matter of fact, this will be just the 5th time in 35-games this season that a Blues total has been 5.5, and 30 of their first 35 have been at 5.0 or less. In my professional opinion, we’ll start to see the Blues begin to play on the lower side of the ledger sooner rather than later.

 

The Skinny on the Avalanche
The Colorado Avalanche has received a much needed lift from the recent superb goaltending of Calvin Pickard. The Avalanche has gone under the total in 3 of their last 4-games, and a major contributor to that occurring has been the red-hot play of their goaltender. Pickard has started in all 4 of those games and compiled an excellent .961 save percentage in those outings.

Colorado is coming off a 2-1 overtime win at Detroit in their previous game, and they’ve gone under the total in 12 of 13-games during the past 2-seasons following an overtime win. They will be facing a team (Blues) tonight that’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal per game more than their opponents this year. Colorado has seen 7 of 8-games go under the total in the 2014-2015 NHL campaign when facing a team averaging 3.0 or more shots on goal per game than their opponents.

 

Final Analysis
The Colorado Avalanche is coming off wins in each of their previous two games. Those victories improved their money line record on the season to 12-21, and that equates to a .364 winning percentage. The combination of these factors sets up a long standing betting system with a large sample size, and I’m going to use this as a valuable handicapping tool when making one of my NHL picks on Tuesday.

Any home team (Colorado) with a total of 5.5, coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they have a winning percentage of .300 to .400, has seen that home team go under the total in 130 of 196-games (66.3%) since 1996. This NHL betting system has been active 9-times already this season, and 8 of those games have gone under the total.

NHL Pick: St. Louis Blues/Colorado Avalanche to go under the total of 5.5 at 5Dimes