Bet Against Penguins in First Visit of Season to Hurricanes

Dana Lane

Friday, December 29, 2017 4:54 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 29, 2017 4:54 PM UTC

The tables will turn on Friday on the Penguins, who have won 20 of their last 28 meetings against the Carolina Hurricanes. Puck drops at the PNC Arena at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina HurricanesFree NHL Pick: Canes -140Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Sometimes you get one of those days where everything falls into place, like Thursday.

I started the day off on the "Ice Guys Show" by handing out a 3-0 day, which included a +120 winner with the Vancouver Canucks and a best bet winner when Florida hung on to beat the Philadelphia Flyers. After that, I went to my "Play of the day" column where we cashed another ticket on the Flyers/Hurricanes UNDER 5.5. It paid to get up early to watch our show and read our free pick columns. Tomorrow morning you have another chance to get on board by joining the Ice Guys at 9 a.m. ET on the SBR YouTube Channel.

Enough with the gloating.

We go to Raleigh, N.C. for our selection Friday. It’s a game that the NHL oddsmakers normally would give Pittsburgh some credit for because it's a high-profile team, but this line is much different than what I might have been a few months back. There is no way that the Penguins wouldn’t have been a -130 to -140 road favorite, but when you’ve lost five of your last eight it tends to change people’s minds about how much you’re worth. You always can figure on the home team getting an automatic 30 cents in hockey, the same way we give home NFL teams three points.

I think this money line came out a bit low and the large money agrees, pushing this number up to Carolina -140, which is right around where it should be no matter how strange it looks. Typically, we’ll see the public jump on the higher-profile team as an underdog, with this game being no exception. Despite the large movement in the number, 54% of the tickets written have come in on the Pens.

If you need more similarities, look no further than the standings, where both teams are tied with 41 points, three points out of a wild card spot. But in many ways this game means more to Pittsburgh because Bill Peters' team has two games in hand. The Hurricanes are a long way from being in my Top 10 power rankings, but they have won three straight and get the Penguins at home after the Pens got an important two points from the Columbus Blue Jackets in a shootout on Wednesday. I think it will be hard for Pittsburgh to find the accelerator again tonight as they start a three-game road trip.

The Hurricanes are simply playing better hockey right now, going 6-2-2 in their last 10, while Pittsburgh is just 4-6.

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