Best NHL Pick for Kings vs. Stars is on the Total

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 4, 2014 1:25 PM GMT

Before placing your NHL pick tonight, keep in mind that the Los Angeles Kings have been an awful road team to start the season while the Dallas Stars have been terrible at home. Bet with care. 

The Los Angeles Kings Can Win Because…
The Stars don’t have a great home-ice advantage. While the Kings are still winless on the road this season, the Stars have only one home win in five tries. So clearly, there is no home-ice advantage in this one.

Furthermore, the Stars are in a big funk right now as they’ve lost four straight while allowing 17 goals in the process. They are a team that’s in disarray and that should give the upper hand to the Kings. Lead goaltender Kari Lehtonen has struggled mightily for the Stars over the last six games as he’s posted a 3.39 GAA in that span. If he plays to that level again on Tuesday, the Kings are coming away with the win.

Check out our top-value NHL Picks of the Day here. 

The Dallas Stars Can Win Because…
The Kings are a horrible road team, and their underdog status in NHL odds today reflects that. So far this season, the Kings have yet to win a single away game. That includes a loss in Carolina on Saturday night. The Hurricanes are without question the worst team in the NHL right now. That means if the Kings can lose at Carolina, they can lose anywhere. Los Angeles is 0-5 in road games this year including four straight losses on their current five-game road trip. The issue seems to be goaltending and defense as the Kings allow just 1.29 goals per game at home, which is the third-best mark in the NHL. On the road, that number grows to 3.40, which is the seventh-worst number in the NHL this year.

The Kings are just a Jekyll and Hyde, and when they’re on the road, they’re much more beatable. Dallas should come away with the win in this spot.

 

Outlook & Pick
This is a tricky game to cap as both teams come into this matchup as losers of four straight. The Kings should be the choice here, though, as their losses are more tied to away games than overall poor performance. They should be able to salvage one win from their five-game road trip – especially against a Stars team that’s playing horrible defense right now.

However, I’ll go with the over instead for my NHL pick today. The Kings defense flakes on the road. The Stars can’t contain anyone right now. I expect to see plenty of goals in this NHL betting matchup.

Free NHL Pick: Over 5 at The Greek