Bank On The Maple Leafs to End the Kings' Streak

Toronto Maple Leafs

Dana Lane

Monday, October 23, 2017 7:36 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 23, 2017 7:36 PM GMT

I don’t love the price on this but my recommendation would be to wait until the number comes down to bet on it. 

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According to the SBR NHL odds page over 56% of all wagers are on the Los Angeles Kings which is pushing this number down from its opening price. It doesn’t come as surprise considering the Kings haven’t lost in regulation yet this season. Coming into this game the Kings handled the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-4 while the Maple Leafs dropped at 6-3 decision to the Ottawa Senators. One rule in wagering, always expect the unexpected. All signs point to Los Angeles which is why I feel very comfortable wagering on the Leafs side.

Injuries:

Los Angeles Kings Jeff Carter (Ankle) Out indefinitely

Starting Goaltenders:

Los Angeles Kings Jonathan Quick (5-0-1, .939, 1.99) - Confirmed

Toronto Maple Leafs Frederik Andersen (5-2, .892, 3.41) - Likely

Toronto is buzzing this morning after signing veteran defensemen Roman Polak last night to a $1 million dollar deal. Polak is expected to make his debut with the Leafs tonight but my rule is never to get too excited about a new addition to the line-up. However, this isn’t significant enough to apply that rule besides it’s easier for a defenseman to make an immediate impact with their mere presence. Polak will give Toronto defensive depth which will be an immediate upgrade. I won’t get any worse for a team that allows 3.50 goals per game ranking them 23rd. Polak will be on the Leafs third pairing with Andreas Borgman.

Special teams could be the difference tonight where the Leafs have been fantastic with a success rate of 31.3%. This comes into play when facing a road team because there will be a time when fatigued plays a role even though it’s only game number two on the road for Los Angeles. We tend to overlook this factor until the end of a trip but anything out of a normal routine can have an effect. This usually leads to bad penalties which play to the Leafs strength. On the flip side the Kings haven’t been great with the extra man so the power play is where the difference in tonight’s game will come.

From a trend perspective the home team in this series has won five of the past six meetings. I was curious to see how the Leafs bounced back from large losses and what I found was encouraging. The game after the Leafs dropped a contest by three or more goals they’ve won six of the last seven in this spot.

We have to give up a little but Toronto is the right side tonight.

Free NHL Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -134 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes
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