Back Red Wings With Your NHL Picks To Pull Road Upset vs. The Wild

Nikki Adams

Monday, December 28, 2015 7:30 PM GMT

Six puck drops feature around the league tonight, including the game between the Red Wings & the Wild. Find out where we’re placing our NHL picks in this highly anticipated clash.

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Free NHL Pick: Red Wings +120; Red Wings +1.5
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

Detroit Red Wings (18-10-7)
The Detroit Red Wings are riding high in Atlantic Division, a point behind division leaders Florida Panthers with an 18-10-7 record. The Red Wings are coming off a win on the road to the Nashville Predators on Saturday, a 3-2 win that saw the Red Wings improve to a 5-2-3 record in their last ten games.

The win over the Predators marked only their sixth win in the month of December (11 games played), but only their second win in the last six games. The string of disappointments included losses to the New Jersey Devils (3-2 in OT), Buffalo Sabres (2-1), Vancouver Canucks (4-3 SO) and New Jersey Devils (4-3).

On the road, the Red Wings sport a 7-3-3 record. On the season, the Red Wings have scored 92 goals but conceded 91 goals for a so-so plus one differential.

This is the first of two meetings with the Minnesota Wild and the Red Wings are at the disadvantage on the NHL odds board as the +1.5 road underdogs on the puck line and the +125 road underdogs for the straight up win. The O/U is listed at 5 points with the former favoured at -150 and the latter matched at +130 NHL odds. Clearly, odds makers expect a relatively high-scoring game in this one.

 

Minnesota Wild (18-10-6)
Although the Minnesota Wild boast a similar record to the Detroit Red Wings on the season as a whole, they are smack in the middle of a Central Division that is dominated by the Dallas Stars wholeheartedly with a 27-7-3 mark and 57 points. That’s a full 15 point edge over the Wild that are 18-10-6 with 42 points.

The similarities with the Red Wings extend to form in the last ten games as well. The Wild are 5-3-2 in their last ten games, but unlike the Red Wings, the Wild are coming off a 3-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins.

On a brighter note, the Wild have won seven of their 12 games so far in December, splitting their last three games 3-3. They beat the Canucks 6-2, the Rangers 5-2 and the Canadiens 2-1. They lost to the Predators 3-2, division leaders Stars 6-3 and the Penguins on Saturday.

Where the Wild strike a convincing pose is at home. They are 13-5-1 at home, which underscores their favourable NHL odds for tonight’s date with the Red Wings. They’ve also outscored opponents 92-to-83 for a plus 9 differential.

 

NHL Betting Verdict:
The Wild have a solid home record that amounts to a 68% winning percentage, which is nothing to sniff at. The Red Wings, meanwhile, have a 54% winning percentage on the road. By the stats, it’s clear the Wild are the better NHL pick.

Of course, games aren’t played on paper but in the ice rink. Anything can happen – a puck bouncing the way of one or the other. In recent history, these two sides have played each other closely – in the last four games no more than a goal has separated the pair with the Red Wings going 3-0-1. That alone makes the Red Wings worth the tickle on your NHL picks. In fact, for our money, we’re taking the Red Wings as the +1.5 underdogs on the puck line and on top of it taking a chance on the Red Wings to pull off the road upset in Minnesota altogether.