Back Penguins vs. Ducks with NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Friday, March 7, 2014 3:57 PM GMT

The Ducks host the Penguins on Friday at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California with the opening faceoff slated for 10:05 PM ET. Take a look at our handicapper's top NHL picks for this affair.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Anaheim Ducks

According to NHL betting odds Anaheim is a -135 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. The home team has won 9 of the last 11-games in this series. These teams have seen 7 of their last 10-games go under the total. Anaheim leads the Pacific Division and is 1st overall in the Western Conference. Pittsburgh is atop the Metropolitan Division and is 1st overall in the Eastern Conference.

Holding off the Blues and Hawks

The Anaheim Ducks had their 3-game win streak snapped in a 4-3 overtime shootout loss at home at versus the Montreal Canadians on Wednesday. The Ducks were able to overcome a 2-0 deficit at the end of the 1st period by scoring 3 unanswered goals in the 2nd stanza, only to allow Montreal to tie the game with 0:36 to go in the period. After a scoreless 3rd period and 5-minute overtime, the Canadians were able to win it in the shootout session. The Ducks were victimized by Montreal goaltender Dustin Tokarski who stopped 39 of 42 Anaheim shots on goal. Toskarski was making his first NHL start since 2012 when he was a member of the Tampa Bay Lightning. At the time of this writing the Ducks led the Blues by 4-points, and the Blackhawks by 6-points for the top spot in the Western Conference. Tonight will be the 4th of a 5-game in 11-day home stand for Anaheim. Following the home stand the Ducks will play 10 of their final 17-games of the regular season on the road.

Be sure to compare the top NHL Stanley Cup Betting odds available!

Road Weary Penguins

The Penguins will have the unenviable task of having to face top team in the Western Conference tonight, after playing at San Jose last night. As a matter of fact this will be the Penguins 3rd road game in the last 4-days. The good news is that Pittsburgh is 5-0 in their last 5-games when playing with no rest. They’ve also gone an extremely profitable 52-23 in their last 75 when playing their 3rd game in 4-days. Pittsburgh has also gone under the total in just 7 of their last 17 when playing with no rest. The Penguins are the best in the NHL on the power play converting on an excellent 24.9% of their man advantage opportunities on the season. Their penalty killing is nothing to sneeze at as well, as they’re 2nd in the NHL while killing off 86.7% of the power play chances of opponents.

NHL Betting System

Let's take a look at some statistics before making our NHL picks for this match-up. Play against any home team that’s between -100 to -150 on the money line that’s playing in the 2nd half of their schedule, they’ve gone over the total in their last 2 or more games, and both teams in this game average 2.9 or more goals per game. By playing against the home team in this situation you would be 26-12 (68.4%) over the last 5 seasons.

Free Pick: Pittsburgh +115 over Anaheim

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