Back 'Over' in Blues vs. Senators with NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 16, 2013 1:54 PM GMT

The Senators host the Blues on Monday ay the Canadian Tire Center in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada with the opening faceoff slated for 7:35 PM ET. We look at the betting odds on offer in hopes of finding an edge for our NHL picks tonight.

According to NHL odds the Blues are a -140 money line road favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen their last 7 meetings in Ottawa all go under the total. Ottawa has won 5 of their last 6 home games versus St. Louis. As sports bettors, should we expect a similar result tonight, or are we smart to back another outcome with their NHL picks?

[gameodds]7/250340/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

No Longer Stingy 

The Ottawa Senators were among the best defensive teams in the NHL a season ago. They limited their opponent’s quality chances, were strong in their own zone, and received excellent goaltending. Things have taken a dramatic turn for the worse in that regard this season. The Senators are 27th in the NHL allowing 3.1 goals per game. Their #1 goaltender Craig Anderson who was a Vezina Trophy candidate a season ago, but he’s struggled mightily this season. The Senators have allowed 3 or more goals in 22 of their 34-games this year. They’ve gone over the total in 10 of their last 14-games. Ottawa has also gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 home games.

There’s no Blues in St. Louis

The St. Louis Blues have given their fans a lot to cheer about so far this season. They’re currently 2nd in the 7-team Central Division. They trail the Chicago Blackhawks by 6-points for the division lead, but they have 5-games in hand. They’re 4th overall in the Western Conference, and have 3 or more games in hand on all of the 3-teams that are ahead of them. The Blues enter tonight riding a 3-game winning streak. This will be the first of 3-games in the next 4-days for St. Louis. They return home to take on San Jose tomorrow and Montreal on Thursday. The Blues are 2nd in the NHL averaging 3.5 goals per game, and 4th on the power play converting 24.1% of their opportunities. 

NHL Super System 

Play against any home team that’s coming off a home loss by 3-goals or more, and they’re playing their 8th game or more in the last 14-days. Playing on the road team in this exact situation would make you 59-35 (62.8%) on the money line since the beginning of the 1996-1997 year.

Free NHL Pick: St. Louis -140 over Ottawa