Back Canadiens With Your NHL Picks To Pull Road Upset vs. Flyers

Jason Lake

Tuesday, January 5, 2016 2:28 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2016 2:28 PM GMT

The Montreal Canadiens are having trouble beating the NHL odds without Carey Price in net. Can the Philadelphia Flyers sneak one past the Habs this Tuesday?

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Free NHL Pick: Canadiens +104
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

It must have been especially gratifying for the Montreal Canadiens when they beat the Boston Bruins (–120 at home) 5-1 on New Year's Day. The Habs (22-15-3) were on top of the NHL standings before going 3-11 in December, but all was forgotten after Friday's Winter Classic win over their archrivals, in front of over 67,000 Boston fans at The Razor.

Perhaps the Canadiens can keep their mojo working this Tuesday night (7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN) when they visit the Philadelphia Flyers to cap off a seven-game road trip. The Flyers are near the bottom of the league standings at 15-15-7 after dropping their last three games; as we go to press, Philadelphia is a slight –115 moneyline favorite on our NHL odds board, with a total of five goals (UNDER –125).

 

Goal-O-Matic
Story No. 1 with the Habs: MVP goalie Carey Price. He remains out indefinitely with a lower-body injury, and back-up Mike Condon (.907 save percentage) has cooled off somewhat after winning his first four NHL starts – although he was brilliant again during the Winter Classic. Ben Scrivens (.905 career SV%) will get the start on Tuesday after coming over from the Edmonton Oilers last week in exchange for forward Zack Kassian.

Story No. 2: Brendan Gallagher (10 goals, 3.3 Point Shares in 23 games). Montreal's December slump coincided with Gallagher's time on the injured list; the right-winger broke two fingers on November 22 and didn't play again until Friday, when he scored a goal and an assist versus the Bruins. This is a major development for the Habs that may have gone unnoticed in some quarters of the betting marketplace.
 

Masonry for Dummies
Philadelphia is at close to full strength for a change – veteran winger Vincent Lecavalier remains out with a back injury, but his time as a pro appears to be drawing to a close anyway. At press time, it's believed Steve Mason (.910 SV%) will get the start Tuesday night ahead of Michal Neuvirth (.937 SV%), who recently missed five games with an undisclosed illness.

Mason might have to stand on his head to make the Flyers worth putting in your NHL picks. They're scoring just 2.11 goals per game, second-fewest in the league. Philadelphia is also second-worst in shots on goal against at 32.6 per game. Need some advanced stats to scratch that nerd itch? The Flyers are second-last in On-Ice Shooting Percentage (7.0 percent), and No. 21 overall in Fenwick For (49.1 percent). But hey, they're second in the league in hits (1124).

Which means we might see a similar game on Tuesday to the one we saw in Foxborough. The big, bad Bruins couldn't handle Gallagher and the smaller, speedier, puck-hogging Canadiens, who rank fourth overall in Fenwick For at 52.9 percent. And having Mason start over Neuvirth takes away Philly's best chance of pulling off the upset. Make it Montreal, and may the cylinder be with you.

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