Attention Contrarians! Public On The Wrong Side of Caps-Hawks Match-Up

Dana Lane

Wednesday, December 6, 2017 6:47 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017 6:47 PM UTC

NBC Rivalry Night heads to Washington where the Capitals will try to push the Blackhawks farther down the standings in the Central. Puck drops from Capital One Arena at 8:00 ET/5:00 PT

Chicago Blackhawks vs Washington Capitals

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Free NHL Pick: UNDER 5.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

I didn’t cash in my ‘Best Bet’ on the ‘Ice Guys Show’ yesterday but we’ll certainly take the two other winners that were discussed. If you haven’t had a chance to check the show out, it’s available live at 6:00am ET on the SBR YouTube Channel. It features Ian Cameron, Alex B. Smith, and Andrew “Don’t call me Al” McInnis. We run down the NHL betting card every Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday; check us out tomorrow morning.

Someone put out an APB on the Chicago Blackhawks. I don’t know if fans are too busy driving the bandwagon or simply trying to hang on but the Blackhawks are three points from the bottom of the Central Division. How that Chicago could this happen with the star power throws on the ice every night? How could this happen when your team is a top 10 offensive and defensive team? Simple answer is they are a horrible power play team. Remember, when we bet totals we must address both teams special teams units to anticipate how many goals we can reasonably figure on, and how is that output going to affect our wager. Joel Quenneville’s team is finding success just 16% of the time, a percentage that ranks them only better than the Buffalo Sabres and Columbus Blue Jackets. Washington is much better (21.73%) but if I like the Caps to win then this should dilute an over flow of Power play goals from Washington.

The reasoning behind that is, if the Caps are ahead they are more likely to fall into a defensive style knowing they don’t have to be aggressive or take chances to create scoring opportunities. A team playing with more urgency is more likely to create penalties. Hope that makes sense.

Historically this series hasn’t been the friendliest to Chicago. Chicago has dropped their last six visits to Washington and six of seven overall. In their last meeting almost a year ago Chicago failed to score (6-0) and they were in a much stronger frame of mind then.

Anton Forsberg is the probable starter for Chicago with Corey Crawford on the mend. Forsberg is 1-3-3 on the year with a 3.02 goals against average, doesn’t exactly scream UNDER but as time goes on I anticipate he’ll become more comfortable with his role. We have seen his transition become progressively better, yes he suffered two losses against Dallas and Los Angeles but in the losses Forsberg stopped 54 of 57 shots. The combination of his increased confidence and Chicago’s consistent inability to support him is the right recipe for an UNDER wager tonight.

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