Champion handicapper Dana Lane examines current NHL Betting Trends, ROI report and teams to watch for as the season winds down and the playoffs begin.
We haven’t talked about NHL betting trends in a while so let’s give you an update on season long betting trends.
Home favorites have dominated betting as they usually do, producing a record of 521-251-46-33, good for a huge 61.22% winning percentage. However, we can’t blindly just play home favorites because even at 61% to return will be minimized if we don’t choose the best numbers. Anything over -150 will cut deep into your bankroll with a loss.
Overall favorites in the NHL Odds board are 702-357-71-46 59.69% for the season.
I’m not much of a puck-line bettor but for those who are have been very successful betting home underdogs, meaning they are receiving +1.5. On the year home teams getting +1.5 are 226-107, 67.87%
‘Unders’ have a slight edge for ‘totals’ players at 534-511, 51.10%. Not much of an edge there.
Overall the smart bets have been on home teams getting the goal and a half, something to think about next season.
Bang for your Buck
Despite their late season collapse the Minnesota Wild have returned $2,122 for a $100 player with two games to play (4/5). The Wild are 44-36 against the puck-line with 41 of their 71 games going over the ‘total’ with 9 ‘pushes’. A $100 player who bet the ‘over’ in Wild games would have earned a return of $1,207.
Behind them is the Montreal Canadiens returning $1,722 followed by the Washington Capitals ($1,539), Columbus Blue Jackets ($1,182) and the Toronto Maple Leafs ($1057). No surprise that the Colorado Avalanche is last at -$3,998.
The Pittsburgh Penguins ‘over’ has been a reliable investment at 45-29.
Offense seems to wave the way to betting success as eight of the top nine top offenses, in terms of goals scored, have given bettors a positive return on their money.
Pittsburgh Penguins Own my Power Ratings
The Pittsburgh Penguins still sit on top of my power rankings as the team to beat when the postseason comes into focus. At 5 Dimes you can still get the Penguins at 8/1. With all their injuries they have still managed to lead the league in shots (33.9) and goals (3.37). We now know that Chris Kunitz will be lost for the season but even without Kunitz the Pens are deep and will get healthier. Despite the health issues the Penguins have manage to post a 9-3-3 record over their last 15 games.
You always want to back the hot team as they head to postseason and no one fits that label more than the Anaheim Ducks who are 11-1-3 over their last 15 games, giving up just 31 goals in the time frame. You can get down on a Ducks future bet at BetOnline at 14/1.