Add 'Over' to NHL Picks as Red Wings Battle Sabres

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, January 13, 2015 2:51 PM GMT

There are ten games on the NHL schedule tonight, and we’ve isolated the best value on one of those totals. Read our insightful NHL betting preview article on the game between Detroit and Buffalo which culminates with our selection on this total.

NHL Battle in the Atlantic
A couple of NHL Atlantic Division rivals square off tonight when the Buffalo Sabres host the Detroit Red Wings at 7:05 PM ET. My handicapping emphasis regarding my NHL picks for Tuesday will be on the total in this game. According to the NHL odds at Bookmaker, the current posted total is 5.0. These teams have split their two encounters this season with the home team winning on each occasion. Both of those contests went over the total with fourteen goals combined being scored.

 

Red Wings Totals Report
The Detroit Red Wings have seen just 40.4% of their games go under the total this season. They’ll be facing a Sabres team tonight that allows an average of 3.4 goals per game. Detroit has seen 18 of 27 go over the total during the past two seasons versus an opponent that allows an average of 2.85 or more goals per game. The Red Wings also possess one of the better power play units in the NHL this season. They’ve cashed in on an impressive 24.2% of their man advantage opportunities. That’s not good news for a Buffalo team, which has allowed the opposition to be successful on 35.7% of their power play attempts over the previous five games.

 

Sabres Total Report
The Buffalo Sabres are coming off a 2-1 loss at Tampa Bay in their previous game. That marked just the second time in the last fifteen games that Buffalo had gone under the total. However, it must be noted, that the Sabres goaltender Michal Neuvirth turned in a herculean effort in that loss, stopping 45 of 47 shots on goal by the Lightning. During that previously mentioned fifteen game stretch, Buffalo has allowed 62-goals, and that equates to an average of 4.1 per outing. The Sabres goaltending tandem of Jonas Enroth and Michal Neuvirth have been under constant siege this season. They’ve had to face an average of 35.4 shots on goal per game. Buffalo has gone under the total in 34.9% of their 43-games this season.

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NHL Betting System
The Sabres will enter tonight’s game having lost their last seven games in a row. That losing streak has dropped their winning percentage to .326. NHL betting history has shown that teams playing in this exact scenario, and are into the second half of their schedule, are likely to be involved in high scoring games.

Any team (Buffalo) playing in the second half of the season, coming off seven or more losses in a row,  and has a winning percentage of .300 to .400, has resulted in that team going over the total in 46 of 65-games (70.8%) since 1996. Those contests averaged a combined 6.4 goals per game being scored.

NHL Pick: Red Wings and Sabres to go over the total of 5.0. at BetOnline