Add Avalanche/Blues 'Over' the Total To Your NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 29, 2014 3:56 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 29, 2014 3:56 PM UTC

We’ll be honing in on the total in tonight’s NHL game between the Colorado Avalanche and St. Louis Blues. Find also inside a disclosing NHL totals angle that’s won 75% of the time since 1996.

Avalanche at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis
A couple of Central Division rivals will clash on Monday when the St. Louis Blues host the Colorado Avalanche at 8:05 PM ET. According to the NHL betting odds at Bovada, the Blues are a -180 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5.This will be the 4th meeting of the season between these clubs, and St. Louis won 2 of the first three. Each of those 3-games saw exactly 5-goals combined being scored.


Recent Trends suggest a High Scoring Game
The Colorado Avalanche enters tonight’s game having seen just 7 of their previous 22-games (31.8%) go under the total. Tonight’s starting goaltender Semyon Varlamov will be making just his 2nd start since November 15th as a result of being on the injured reserve list for an extended period of time. Despite coming off a shutout performance in his last start, Varlamov has posted a lofty 3.01 goals against average in 17-starts this season. Tonight will be only the 2nd game in the last 7-days for Colorado. The Avalanche has gone over the total in 11 of 13-games this season when playing just their 2nd game in the last 5-days.

The St. Louis Blues have seen just 3 of their previous 21-games stay under the total. The Blues have also allowed 18-goals combined during their last 4-games. They’re averaging a robust 3.4 goals per game on home ice this season, and have gone under the total just twice in those 17-contests at the Scotttrade Center in St. Louis. They will be facing an opponent tonight which allows an average of 34.1 shots on goal per game. The Blues have gone over the total in each of their six home games this season versus an opponent that allows an average of 29.5 or more shots on goal.


NHL Totals Betting System
The Blues are coming off a 4-3 divisional loss to the Dallas Stars in their previous game. That loss dropped their money line record for the season to 21-14, and that’s good for a .600 winning percentage. Colorado enters tonight with a very disappointing 13-22 money line mark on the year. All of the above data fits into a NHL totals betting system which has won 75% of the time since 1996. I’ll lean on this system when making one of my NHL picks for Monday.

Any home team (St. Louis) with a total of 5.5 that’s playing in the 1st half of the season, coming off a divisional loss, and has a winning percentage of .600 to .700, versus an opponent (Colorado) with a losing record, has seen the home team go over the total in 33 of those 44-games (75%) since 1996.

Free NHL pick: Colorado/St. Louis to go over the total of 5.5 at BookMaker

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