'Under' Our NHL Pick As History Suggests Low Scores In Kings vs. Penguins

Bruce Webster

Friday, December 11, 2015 5:14 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Kings meet the Pittsburgh Penguins on Friday night. Both teams come from winning streaks and we are ready to analyze the NHL odds for this one. Find out our top NHL picks inside.

Los Angeles Kings (18-8-0-1 SU, 9-18 PL, 6-10-11 OU) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (15-10-1-1 SU, 8-19 PL, 9-15-3 OU)
Lines: -120
Total: 5

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Free NHL Pick: Under 5
Best Odds Offered By Pinnacle

 

The Los Angeles Kings are a hot team as they come in having won five games in a row, following their 3-2 road win over Columbus on Tuesday night, while the Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game off a 4-2 road win over the Colorado Avalanche, but still they are just 2-4 in their last six games. Pittsburgh is 4-1 the last five home games in the series.

 

Jonathan Quick Keys Five Game Win Streak
The Los Angeles Kings come in off a hard fought 3-2 win over Columbus on the road, which now has them on a five game winning streak. This is their 2nd longest streak of the year as they had a seven game winning streak earlier in the year. The key to that one was the play of Jonathan Quick and this one is as well. Quick has won all five games of the streak and has allowed just nine total goals during the streak. Overall this year, Quick has been strong in goal as he comes into this game with a 15-8 record and a 2.18 GAA for the year so far, while vs the Penguins he is 2-5 with a 2.18 GAA in his career.

Los Angeles as a team are 2nd in the league in goals allowed, giving up just 2.1 gpg, while also ranking 4th in shots allowed (27.3 spg) and 5th in penalty kill (84.2%). The Kings have really needed the play of Quick and their defense for much of the year as they have been a very average offensive team, coming in ranked 15th in the league in scoring (2.6 gpg) despite the fact that they are 1st in the league in shots per game (32.8). Their power play has not been strong either, as they come in ranked 20th in conversions at 18.1%.

 

Beau Bennett Nets Two as Pens Beat Avs
The Pittsburgh Penguins had some trouble getting their offense going for much of the game vs Colorado on Tuesday night, but then the third period and Beau Bennett struck and things were a bit different. Bennett got the scoring started in that period at the 7:19 mark to tie the game and then after Patric Hornqvist gave them the lead at the 9:24 mark, it was Bennett who struck again just a minute 19 later to pretty much put the game away. For Bennett it was his 4th and 5th goals of the year, while Hornqvist’s was his his 5th of the year as well. The win broke a mini two game slide for Pittsburgh, but still they haven’t been playing all that well as they have won just two of their last four games.

Grabbing the win for Pittsburgh was  Marc-Andre Fleury, who has really been inconsistent of late, going just 3-4 in his last seven starts. For the year now he is 13-10 with a 2.23 GAA, while in his career vs the Kings he is 6-3 with a 1.96 GAA. The Penguins have had their issues at the offensive end of the ice this year as they come in ranked 23rd in scoring, putting up just 2.4 gpg, while also ranking 26th in power play conversions at 16.1%. At the defensive end of the ice the have faced the 28th most shots per game in the league, but they rank 6th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.3 gpg. They also have been solid on the penalty kill, where they rank 8th (83.9%). 

 

Trends for Los Angeles:
The Under is 3-1-3 in their last 7 road games
The Under is 66-29-21 in their last 116 vs. Eastern Conference

 

Trends for Pittsburgh:
The Under is 17-6-3 in their last 26 vs. Pacific
The Under is 12-5-3 in their last 20 home games

 

Betting Analysis
There is really little risk in taking the Under for your NHL picks in a LA Kings game and the NHL odds suggest as much as just six of their 27 games this year have put up more than five goals. That means that 21 of their 27 games this year have either landed on five or below it. Low risk to take an Under in their games. Now we add in the fact that they will take on a Pittsburgh team that plays many low scoring games at home and the fact that the Under is 4-0-2 the last six meetings here between these teams. Pittsburgh home games have averaged just 5.0 gpg, while LA road games have put up just 4.64 gpg on the year. This all adds up to another low scoring game between these teams.