Penguins vs. Kings: Betting Trends Make 'Under' the NHL Pick

Bruce Webster

Saturday, December 5, 2015 12:23 PM GMT

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game off a 5-1 rout of San Jose, while the Los Angeles Kings enter off a pair of home OT wins, who will be our NHL pick for today?

Pens Grab First Win in San Jose Since 1997
The Pittsburgh Penguins have not had success in San Jose for a very long time, but that ended on Tuesday night with their 5-1 romp over the Sharks. It was the first time since 1997 that Pittsburgh had won a game in San Jose. A rout is a nice way to break a losing streak. Phil Kessel scored his 8th and 9th goals of the year, while Evgeni Malkin had a goal and two assists and David Perron had a goal and an assist. The Penguins have had their scoring issues this year, and the five goals they put up in this one was the most in any game this year so far for the Pens. 

For the year now Pittsburgh has averaged just 2.3 gpg, which is 24th in the league, despite the fact that they are 6th in the league in shots taken per game. Pittsburgh has also struggled on the power play, where they are 23rd. Defensively the Penguins have faced the 3rd least shots per game in the league and are 6th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.2 gpg. Marc-Andre Fleurywas the recipient of the win and is now 12-8 with a 2.16 GAA on the year. He recently went through a stretch of allowing at least three goals in a game in six of seven starts, but has now allowed a total of three goals in his last two starts. He is 6-2 with a 1.70 GAA in his career vs the Kings. 

 

Kopitar Lifts Kings Over Canucks in OT
The Los Angeles Kings trailed the Vancouver Canucks for much of their game on Tuesday night until Drew Doughty tied the game at 1-1 in the third period. It stayed that way until Anze Kopitar scored 2:02 into the OT period. For Doughty it was his 3rd of the year, while Kopitar’s was his 8th on the season. This game followed a 3-2 OT win over Chicago at home as well. The Kings lead the Pacific Division with 31 points, which is three points better than San Jose. 

Jonathan Quick had another stellar night in goal for the Kings and is now 12-8 with a 2.21 GAA on the year and he has allowed just one goal in three of his last four starts. Watch out if this guy continues to stay hot..He has struggled with Pittsburgh in his career though, going just 1-5 with a 2.54 GAA vs them. The Kings have not been a good offensive team this year as they rank 19th in scoring (2.5 gpg), despite the fact that they are first in the league in shots taken per game. On defense is where they have shined as they come in ranked 2nd in goals allowed (2.1 gpg), 4th in shots allowed (27.4 spg) and 9th in penalty kill.  

 

Trends

Pittsburgh:

The Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game.

The Under is 18-6-4 in their last 28 vs. the Pacific.

Los Angeles:

The Under is 14-5-7 in their last 26 home games.

The Under is 65-28-20 in their last 113 vs the Eastern Conference.

The Kings have played 24 games this year so far and just five of those games have put up more than five goals, and with two hot goalies in this one going up against bad and mediocre offenses, I don’t see how this one hits five goals, and even if it does then the worst we get here is a push. Just three of the Kings 14 home games have put up more that five goals in a game and the Under is 3-0-3 the last six meetings in this series. This one has 2-1 written all over it. Take Under as your NHL pick today against the NHL odds.

NHL Pick: Under 5 at Heritage

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