Daily NHL Picks: Crash the Books with Friday's ML Betting Trio

Doug Upstone

Friday, October 16, 2015 2:11 PM GMT

When reviewing the NHL odds, we find the sportsbooks have only one road favorite among the seven games on the docket, with several -150 or higher favorites to start the day.

A quick recap of yesterday finds we had a second 3-0 day this week for NHL picks, which is what we are all looking for. Bad news for San Jose with center Logan Couture having suffered a broken leg in team practice 5 on 5 drills. The Sharks will be in New Jersey tonight and will not be one our choices for sports picks.

Let's move on to today and after checking out all the NHL odds, this is my trio of plays.

 

Detroit Locks up Carolina
Detroit is off to its best start since 2012 at 3-0, while Carolina has yet to win in three tries and that is coming off last October when they were winless at 0-6-2. The Red Wings want to continue the momentum, especially at home, where only a late season rush allowed them to finish an uncharacteristic 22-19 SU at Joe Louis Arena. Though we are very early in a new campaign, Detroit's power play is annually one of the best in the league, but this season it has been their skill at being shorthanded which has helped them build this record in surrendering one goal in a dozen chances.

You do not have to be a hockey handicapper to understand when you pair the Red Wings penalty killers against Carolina's power play, which is 1 for 13, the inferior Hurricanes are going to have to manufacture goals when at even strength. Cam Ward is 1-4-1 in his last six starts against Detroit, including a 4-3 home loss last Saturday when he made just 15 saves, which will not help Carolina, nor will the fact they are 1-17 with one tie in the Motor City in the past 24 years.

NHL Pick: Red Wings -163 at Heritage

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Winnipeg Win Home Opener over Calgary
The Jets have jetted off to a 3-1 start, accomplishing this all on the road. They are at the MTS Centre for the first time this season and Heritagesports opened them up as -160 overnight favorites, but by morning they were down to -145 on the money line. Winnipeg has gotten stellar contributions from Blake Wheeler (5 points) and Mark Scheifele (3 goals) out of the box and Ondrej Pavelec has been strong between the pipes.

Calgary is 1-2 and they will look to exploit the Jets one weakness thus far, having allowed 34.3 shots on net, which is the fourth-highest in the league. Nonetheless, the Flames are hardly any better, just one slot behind Winnipeg at 34 attempts conceded and the Jets offense has 15 goals in four games. With Winnipeg 12-1 on home ice against teams averaging three or fewer shots on goal than their opponent, they are my choice.

NHL Pick: Jets -135 at Bookmaker

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St. Louis has Vancouver Singing the Blues
The Canucks have yet to lose in regulation, with their only defeat in OT to Calgary at home. St. Louis is 3-1 after taking down Edmonton last night. There is every reason to think Vancouver is the right side, since this will be the Blues third road contest in four nights and they have not defeated the Canucks in two seasons with an 0-6 record.

What peeked my curiosity was Vancouver opened as only a -115 home favorite from the oddsmakers and while that has gone up since, that is bettors making the line move. Granted, this figure is in line with the last three times St. Louis has lost in western Canada, but the Canucks are 5-10 at home having won three of their last four games and 5-15 after two straight contests where four or fewer total goals were scored the past two seasons. Appears to be a solid value on what is the better team, despite their recent results.

NHL Pick: Blues +119 at 5Dimes

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