Bet Penguins -110 over Red Wings

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, December 14, 2013 1:47 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 14, 2013 1:47 PM UTC

The Red Wings host the Penguins on Saturday at Joe Louis Arena in Detroit Michigan. Who should we be backing for our free NHL picks in this affair?

According to NHL betting odds both teams are -110 on the money line and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen just 5 of their last 22 meetings go over the total. The home team has won 9 of the last 12-games between these two teams.

Entering the weekend Detroit was tied for 3rd in the Atlantic Division, and tied for 4th overall in the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh was in 1st place in the Metropolitan Division, and was 2nd overall in the Eastern Conference, just 3-points behind the Boston Bruins for the lead.

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Shootouts have been Unkind to Wings

The Detroit Red Wings have to be dreading anymore overtime shootouts this season. They have gone a dismal 0-6 this season in shootouts, including losing their last 2-games in that fashion. As a matter of fact Detroit has gone just 1-8 in overtime games this season, including losing their last 8 in a row. They certainly can’t afford to keep leaving those available points on the table if they want to be considered to be a serious factor in the Eastern Conference.

Inside the Red Wings Numbers

  • The Red Wings have gone under the total in their last 4-games.
  • The Red Wings have gone under the total in 5 of their 6 road games.
  • The Red Wings have won just 5 of their 17 home games in regulation time this season, including just 2 of their last 13.
  • Jimmy Howard is a dismal 1-12 in his last 13 starts in goal for the Red Wings.
  • The Red Wings have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Red Wings are 1-8 this season following a 1-goal loss.

Demanding Schedule the Next Week

At the time of this writing the Penguins were hosting the New Jersey Devils on Friday. This will be the 7th time this season that the Penguins will have had to play on consecutive nights, and they’re 3-3 in their first 6-games in that exact situation. After the game on Saturday versus the Red Wings, they will host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, and that will begin a 3-game in 4-day sequence. They will be at the New York Rangers on Wednesday, and then host the Minnesota Wild on Thursday. The Wild game will be their 5th game in 7-days.

Very Special Teams

The Pittsburgh Penguins special teams have been nothing short of outstanding so far this season. Going into the game versus New Jersey on Friday they were #1 on the power play in the NHL converting on 26.7% of their chances. The penalty killing efficiency wasn’t far behind ranking 2nd in the league, killing off 86.8% of their opponent’s man advantage opportunities. A reflection of those numbers is the fact that the Penguins are 6th in scoring offense at 3.0 goals per game, and 4th in scoring defense allowing just 2.2 goals per game.

Inside the Penguins Numbers

  • The Penguins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games versus an opponent with a money line home winning percentage of less than .400.
  • The Penguins are 64-26 in their last 90-games versus an opponent with a losing record.
  • The Penguins have gone over the total in just 3 of their last 14 road games.
  • The Penguins have gone over the total in 19 of their 27-games the last 3 seasons versus an opponent with a money line winning percentage of .400 to .490.
NHL Pick: Penguins -110 over the Red Wings
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