Yes, You Should Get Excited About Saturday NFL!

Matt Prater

SBR Staff

Friday, December 15, 2017 9:27 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 15, 2017 9:27 PM UTC

While many of you only see the negatives of the College Football regular season ending, there is one often overlooked positive.  Saturday Night NFL action kicks off this week and even better, we get two games to beat the books with.  

Continuing with this season’s trend of who cares games on days not named Sunday, the Bears & Lions get us started at 4:30ET. One thing brave Bears backers have going for them, perhaps the only thing, is that visiting teams win at a 60.3% rate on Saturdays. But realistically the Bears have nothing to play for while the Lions are still mathematically in the wild card hunt. While I don’t think the Bears will throw this game in order to secure a lottery pick, they certainly won't have the same gumption if things start going south as a team with a reason to win. If you’re looking to spice up this turd of a game, the Lions are the way to go, despite Matt Prater being the player who is contributing the most this year.

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Next on the docket and bucking the trend of shit games that don’t take place Sunday, we are treated to the Chargers and Chiefs in KC. In a season that has seen these two teams success shift dramatically, this game will determine top dawg in the AFC West. The Chargers are no doubt the hot team here, ripping off 4 straight wins since starting the year 3-6. Conversely the Chiefs have lost 4 of their last 5 after starting 6-3, including a loss to the lowly Giants. This game really is a real toss up but the total does provide some valuable trends of note. First off is that overs are 5-0 on Saturdays during games with freezing temps, which are possible as KC has seen lows in the 20’s this week. Additionally overs in general on Saturdays hit at a 56.6% rate while division games see a bump upt to 63.6%. Both these teams not only need a win here, but they will each benefit from specifically beating each other as division rivals. While the above trends favor the over significantly, a more established and trustworthy trend is late season divisional games going under.

Take from these Saturday trends what you will, after all the sample size of 72 games in a bit light to put too much stock into them. Best to treat them as more or less a normal game, 6 days & 7 days rest are not much different as far as trends are concerned.

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