Wild Card Weekend NFL Parlay with Peter Loshak

Peter Loshak

Saturday, January 4, 2014 5:55 PM GMT

The football season is winding down, and overall I’m up at the moment in my Premium Parlays for the year, with an ROI of +15.1%. Maybe not quite dazzling, but I’ll take it for sure.

This week I put together a parlay with sides from the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs, as well as the last of the bowl games.

One side that I didn’t include, but almost did, and probably has some value based on who is liking it, is Cincinnati minus the points over San Diego. That play was one of two that Brent from BetDSI indicated to me has taken sharp action in our weekly call, and Stephen Oh from EventDataServices.com who has had a great year in our preview videos this year, also picked that side as the one play he likes this weekend in the Wild Card games.

The second play that the sharps took in the Wild Card round, is, no surprise, the under in the San Francisco/Green Bay game, and that sharp action came in when the line was 48, it is now all the way down to 45.5 at DSI. The weather reports for the game are forecasting extremely cold temperatures, and even though cold weather is not necessarily correlated with lower scoring in the NFL overall, extreme cold temperatures are probably a bit of a different story than the more common, less intensely frigid temperatures that make up most of the historical data on cold-weather games in the NFL.

I did wind up going with one play from the Wild Card games, a play on the total in the KC/Indianapolis game that Joe Duffy from OffshoreInsiders.com recommended, and which I initially liked as well.

Then I added a play on the total in the Vanderbilt/Houston bowl game, which is based on my assumptions about Vanderbilt’s likely game plan.

And then the third leg of the parlay is on a side in the Arkansas St/Ball St bowl game, which agrees with the assessment of a new handicapper guest in our preview videos, Road King from VegasKillers.com, although I decided to go with the money line in that one instead of the pointspread.