With the season approaching the halfway point, the NFL odds are getting tougher to beat and predict. This will be another week where the public blindly backs some picks they shouldn't.
Panthers vs. Packers
A week after the Packers barely held on for a win against the Dolphins, the Panthers are coming into town. The NFL odds have the Pack as a -7 favorite this week, but injuries to their defense might limit their value. The Panthers are playing better with every passing week, and the Packers lost both of their starting cornerbacks this past week against Miami. If those two aren’t healthy enough to stay with the speedy, Mike Wallace, things might get a little tough for the Packers to cover. The public might not realize this however, and might blindly back the Packers with their NFL Picks. I would be very weary of Green Bay this week, especially after a week they barely beat Miami. Carolina is a better team, even if they haven’t been playing like it.
Browns vs. Jaguars
The Browns are starting to be America’s team with how many people are starting to back them, and this week the NFL odds have them as -4 road favorites against the Jaguars. While Jacksonville is still a bad team, at home their defense should still play well. Even on the road, I could easily see the public backing the Browns against the Jaguars. The sky would have to fall for the public to back the Jags, so common knowledge suggests that Joe Public might love the Browns at -4. That’s also a horrible number for a road favorite. I could easily see the Browns only winning by three points, which would give the Jaguars the value. Don’t go all in with your NFL pick on the Browns this week.
Texans vs. Steelers
All the way to Monday Night Football of Week 7 might be the biggest public massacre of the week. The Steelers are playing host to the Texans, and the NFL odds have the Steelers as a -4 home favorite. Pittsburgh has been playing horrible for the last few weeks, and it bottomed out last week with the Browns’ destruction of Pittsburgh. This week I could easily see the public backing the Steelers, and if that’s the case, I would recommend going all in on the Texans. Houston’s offense is getting much better. Plus the Texans will be on an extra long week of rest. They played on Thursday night of Week 6, and then they get a ton of extra rest before playing a week from tonight. Houston +4 and on the moneyline might be the best NFL odds value of the entire week. Watch for the line movement throughout the week, but if the line starts to trend upward, the Texans are by far one of the better plays of Week 7. Ryan Fitzpatrick should be able to run up the score against a spotty Steelers secondary, and with the way Arian Foster has been running, the Texans are super undervalued.