Who is the Public Blindly Backing with Their Week 6 NFL Picks?

Jordan Sharp

Monday, October 6, 2014 5:42 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 6, 2014 5:42 PM UTC

It never fails that every week the public jumps in on what they assume is a bet that can’t lose. However it normally fails to cash. By fading those NFL Picks and focusing on the other side, it can really add value to your NFL Odds plays. Here are a few games that the public will be all over.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
One of the earlier games in Week 6 is the Ravens heading on the road to Florida to play the Bucs in Tampa. Even after looking awful against a defense that isn’t that good, the Ravens are still a -3 NFL Odds favorite on the road in Week 6 at 5Dimes. While they might win and cover this bet, I could see the public jumping all over the Ravens. However lest we forget, Tampa has looked pretty good over the last two weeks with Mike Glennon under center. The Bucs could legitimately give the Ravens some troubles here, and I am in no way recommending the Ravens after what they did against the Colts. The Ravens are going to have to prove something to me here, but I bet the public might end up diving right into Baltimore anyway. I would wait and see what these NFL Odds do later in the week, because the Bucs could have some value if the line goes up.

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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
The NFL world had been paging Tom Brady to actually show up in a game for over a month now, and last night against the Bengals he did just that. Brady put on a show and led the Patriots to a dominating win over the Bengals. While it was the first instance that gave any of us any confidence on the Pats, this week might be an interesting story when it comes to the Pats and the Bills. The NFL Odds have the Patriots as -3 road favorites this week, but for the last few times these teams have gotten together, the Bills have played better. Now that Kyle Orton will likely draw another start, this could be a close game, and the NFL Odds right now smell like a juicy trap for the public. I’m not going to actively fade the Patriots here even after their nice win against Cincinnati, but I am certainly not going to recommend the Patriots either. There are still some kinks to figure out, and on the road, I am not confident in New England.

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San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams
Week 6 concludes with a nice divisional showdown between the Rams and 49ers. St. Louis is a +3 or +3 ½ underdog in the opening NFL Odds, and even though the game is a week away, I can already tell you that the public is going to love the 49ers here. However these two teams always play one another close. With the exception of last season where the Rams were dealing with another Sam Bradford injury, the Rams and 49ers played each other to one-score finishes in their three matches prior to 2013. On of those was a tie game, and a similar close game could take place here. The Niners are dealing with some injuries, and after last week, I am convinced that Austin Davis is going to at least be a serviceable quarterback for the Rams. He won’t find as much success against the Niners defense as he had against the Eagles, however the sharp NFL Pick may be on the Rams, while the public should be all over San Francisco.

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