With the regular season under two months away now, and after making my picks for the best record last week, I take a look at the other end of the league and make a selection for worst record of the season.
I could probably make this a two word article: Houston Texans. They are the rightful favorites to finish with the worst record next year, priced at +175 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review). The situation in Houston is toxic from ownership downwards which led to Deshaun Watson asking for a trade, then there’s all the legal accusations around Watson as well meaning that there’s a more than zero percent chance that he’s suspended for the year.
They won four games last season with one of the more talented quarterbacks in the league. How on earth do they get to that number with Tyrod Taylor under center for them? They are likely to try and be more run-heavy this season with Johnson, Lindsay and Ingram as a triple-threat, and Brandin Cooks has talent. But outside of that it’s a very poor roster that has been criminally mismanaged. To add to the pain in Houston, they’ve also got one of the toughest schedules for the next season.
Who Else Is Likely to Be Terrible This Year?
Next up in the betting is the Detroit Lions, who lost their two best offensive players with Kenny Golladay leaving in free agency and Matthew Stafford being traded to the Rams. They got Jared Goff in return, so have an adequate QB still but the cast around him is lacking. The offensive line is solid and was strengthened by drafting Penei Sewell who many think could be a star for a decade.
They too may look to rely on their running back group with D’Andre Swift coming off a good rookie season and Jamaal Williams, a boring but useful addition. Breshard Perriman and Tyrell Williams leading the WR corps probably isn’t a recipe for success though and having the seventh toughest schedule just adds to the woes in the motor city.
The hapless New York Jets round out the top three in the betting, but there are shoots of hope thereafter removing Adam Gase and bringing in Robert Salah from the 49ers. It should clear out some of the stenches around the team and a fresh start is on the cards after drafting Zach Wilson at QB with the second overall pick in this year’s draft.
They paid up for Corey Davis and Jamison Crowder in free agency and added Elijah Moore in April who’s been getting rave reviews in camp, so the offense will look much changed from last season. Saleh being a defensive coach will love having Carl Lawson and Quinnen Williams to coach up on the defensive line. They’re still likely the worst team in their division but I don’t think they’ll be the worst in the league.
Is There Anyone at a Larger Price?
My Bengals are up next, but despite a horrible division and a tough schedule, betting sites think they’ve got the talent on offense with Joe Burrow coming back to avoid another top five picks next year. The Jaguars don’t have the best roster, but with Trevor Lawrence coming in you’ve got to expect them to improve and have two games against the Texans should keep them away from the worst record in the league.
I think the Eagles will be fine and have a relatively easy division so should pick up a few wins from their rivals there, the only one I would consider at a slightly higher price would be the Las Vegas Raiders. When you’re in a division with the Chief’s life isn’t going to be easy and the Chargers should improve too. The Broncos have a solid defense and I just don’t think the Raiders have done enough to keep pace with the top two in that division, although John Brown is a good addition and Darren Waller remains one of the best TEs in football.
Can I Look Past the Texans?
In a word: No. +175 is probably decent value for them, if Watson is suspended or leaves that price may well be odds on. Worst regular season record; Houston Texans +175