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Which NFL Head Coach Will Be Fired First?

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Head coach Bill O'Brien of the Houston Texans. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

Which NFL head coaches are on the hot seat? We explain why and share our best bets for this prop.

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Doug Marrone

The Jacksonville Jaguars traded veteran quarterback Nick Foles to the Chicago Bears. This means that they are moving forward with second-year signal-caller Gardner Minshew as their starter. This doesn’t help Doug Marrone’s future in Jacksonville.

After a 6-10 season, the Jaguars finished last in the AFC South. They drafted Oregon State’s Jake Luton in Round 6 instead of adding a free agent. Even with Cam Newton, Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton and Joe Flacco all available to replace Foles.

Marrone expects more from Minshew in his first full season as an NFL starting quarterback.

“Obviously, we want to see a big jump,” Marrone explained. “We’re excited for him. It’s a great opportunity. He’s not going to change the way he is. He’s a hard-working kid who has a lot of potential. We’ve got to make sure everyone around him is doing their job and doing it at a high level.”

The Jaguars went 6-6 with Minshew as the starter under center and they also need the entire offense to take a significant step forward. I really wouldn’t count on it.

Every team in the AFC South improved considerably and while the Jaguars made some minor moves in free agency, they will have the NFL’s 16th-toughest schedule. There’s a reason why Marrone is at +5000 to be the AP Coach of the Year at BetOnline. If this team is winless after four or six weeks then his bosses will likely lose their patience. Marrone is one my NFL picks for this prop once the best sportsbooks start offering it.

Head coach Doug Marrone of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

Bill O’Brien

Bill O’Brien is the head coach and general manager of the Houston Texans and he can lose both positions if his questionable moves in the offseason don’t work out. Trading DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals was a terrible move but he’s made other bad decisions over the years and he’s in danger of losing his jobs.

The DeAndre Hopkins trade is only one of many bad moves he made since he was officially named Texans general manager in January 2020. Why was this an all-time bad trade?

DeAndre Hopkins is a three-time All-Pro and he led the Texans in receiving in six of his seven years with the team. Hopkins is just 27 years old, he is in the prime of his career and is at least a top 3 wide receiver in the NFL right now. O’Brien traded him for running back David Johnson and a second round pick. You read that right!

Head coach Bill O’Brien of the Houston Texans. Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP

Why the Hopkins Trade Can Doom O’Brien

Johnson can be a dynamic weapon for the Texans but he hasn’t been productive since 2016 and not getting a first round big for Hopkins is laughable. The Texans didn’t have a first round pick this year and the Vikings were able to get a first round pick from the Bills in a package for Stefon Diggs, who is not on Hopkins’ level.

The fact that O’Brien couldn’t even get a first rounder out of the Hopkins trade makes this easily his worst move ever. Add this to his questionable decisions in the AFC Divisional Round game against the Chiefs. Back then, the Texans blew a 24–0 lead in the second quarter. This made the Texans the first team in NFL Playoffs history to lose a game by 20 points after leading by at least 20. To say that O’Brien is on the hot seat would be an understatement.