Well we already knew the Patriots own the division so the fact the Miami Dolphins are 10-6 with a minus Point Differential and average statistics shows Adam Gase has taught his team how to win.
Buffalo (12-3 Over) is spurty (L2-W3-L3-W2-L2) but does have a QB (Taylor) to build around but the Defense (23.2 ppg, #15 NFL) hasn’t been good enough and sent the Ryan Brothers packing. WR Sammy Watkins’ health has been an issue.
Positives: The Bills are #5 in TO Margin (+9), #3 in KO Returns—thanks to Brandon Tate—and DB Stephon Gilmore (43 tackles, 5 interceptions) was impressive.
Miami (11-4 Over) proved it can win games in 2016 and were 10-5 entering Week 17 despite just a +4 Point Differential (349 PF-345 PA) and ranking an average 16th on Offense (23.3 ppg) and 14th on Defense (23.0 ppg).
Positives: The players and the direction HC Adam Gase has the Dolphins (125/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) going. QB Ryan Tannehill (19 TDs, 12 interceptions) grew and ran when he had to while RB Jay Ajayi (1,213 yards, 8 TDs) has been a rock with WR DeVante Parker maturing and Damien Williams (33 rushes, 3 TDs/26 receptions, 3 TDs) and underrated gem. On Defense, LB Kiko Alonso (110 tackles) and 34-year-old DE Cameron Wake (11.5 sacks)—returning from a serious Achilles injury—have been real bright spots.
New York (5-10 ATS) needs a QB, like so many in the NFL, with Ryan Fitzpatrick (10 TDs, 17 interceptions), Geno Smith and Bryce Petty. Legend Darrell Revis (0 interceptions) is mad, says he wants more Respect and wants to stay another season but Gang Green is weak in so many categories: #32 TO Margin (-23), #30 Offense (16.3 ppg) and #29 Defense (26.6 ppg).
Positives: The season ends Sunday? Without Bears-rejects RB Matt Forté (813 yards) and WR Brandon Marshall (718 yards), the Jets Offense would have almost been barren although RB Bilal Powell (600 rushing, 373 receiving, 4 TDs) has been a productive, pleasant surprise.
We re-learned that New England (NFL-best 12-3 ATS) is a machine, is in the midst of a Dynasty and are motivated by the Deflategate drama they’ve endured. And that the Patriots (+310 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) can play through Injuries and Suspensions to key Skill guys (Gronkowski, Amendola, Brady).
Positives: The Defense (15.7 ppg, #1 NFL) has become almost great, yet we seldom hear of players like Malcolm Butler (4 interceptions), Trey Flowers (7 sacks), Patrick Chung (88 tackles) and Logan Ryan (85 tackles). And two dudes on Offense—besides Brady—who've been absolutely fabulous are RB LeGarrette Blount (1,111 yards, 17 TDs) and WR Julian Edelman (90 receptions). If NE ends up winning another Super Bowl in February, the Ford-tough Blount and Edelman will be big reasons why.