Week 9 TNF Capper Court: Lean In Raiders-49ers Prime-Time Atrocity Is ...

Monday, October 29, 2018 2:52 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 29, 2018 2:52 PM UTC

Welcome to the "Capper Court," where five of SBR's NFL handicappers will provide their opinions on Thursday night and Sunday night NFL games. The majority rules! It's an all-Bay area matchup to kick off Week 9.

<h2 style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/oakland-raiders-vs-san-francisco-49ers-3452779/odds/" rel="nofollow">Oakland (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at San Francisco (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox/NFL Network)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Free Majority Pick: 49ers -3 Opening Line</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4377&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow">BetOnline</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3452779, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,1275,274], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><h2>Matthew Jordan: <img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5ba961266c2e4800b7a89129/thumb-49ers-logo" style="width:52px;height:29px;" /></h2><p>Seriously, WTF is going on in these Thursday night matchups of late? I will not watch one second of this horrible matchup of teams who each have just one victory. I truly hope it ends in a scoreless tie. Alas, that has only happened once in the modern history of the NFL. The Lions and the Giants did the deed on Nov. 7, 1943. The Raiders are too horrible on defense to not allow at least three points. They have surrendered at least 26 in all but one. In four games away from Oakland (including one in London), the offense hasn’t topped 20 points. Jon Gruden came out of the booth for this? At least he got a first-round pick for Amari Cooper. And, hey, at least the Raiders don’t have to get on a plane for this one.</p><p>The 49ers aren’t any better without Jimmy Garoppolo. Somehow, the Niners were just swept in the season series by the offensively awful Arizona Cardinals. San Francisco blew a 15-3 fourth-quarter lead in the desert on Sunday, falling 18-15. The loser here is a big winner in terms of improving their shot at the top pick in the 2019 draft. I’ll simply take the Niners because they are home and the Raiders have covered just twice in their past 12 as a dog and didn’t win any of them. I would buy this down to -2.5.</p><h2>Swinging Johnson: <img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5bbfa3f9d5d1ec008d77a09e/original-raiders-logo" style="width:45px;height:48px;" /></h2><p>There’s an old Paul Simon song, circa 1977, called Slip Slidin’ Away, and although the lyrics have nothing to do with football and more to do with the man’s futile pursuit of self-actualization, the title accurately describes the situations of both teams in this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football. In short, and without the poetic majesty of Mr. Simon, they both stink and their respective seasons are both slip, slidin’ away … or should I say slipped and slid because there’s nothing present tense about it. The Raiders and 49ers both have one victory and are hopelessly out of contention even though the season is only at the halfway mark. Neither team will go undefeated the rest of the way which is exactly what they would have to do in order to even get a sniff of the postseason. I would say that these clubs are now playing for pride but … So, the question is, What have the 49ers done to make them worthy of being three-point favorites over the Raiders? I’ll answer my own question and say it’s their homefield advantage which is worth, according to the oddsmakers, a field goal.</p><p>This is a battle for the No. 1 overall pick in the draft, loser take all, and I say grab whatever head start the oddsmakers will give you. Hey, at least the Raiders have Derek Carr, who tossed three TD passes last week and notched the first rushing touchdown of his career in the team’s 42-28 loss to the Colts. The Niners, on the other hand, can’t score points and if a team can’t do that then you don’t have to be Sun Tzu to know that strategy won’t win you any battles in the NFL. Carr looked as good last week as he has since he broke his leg two years ago so take the Raiders and cash a ticket.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Hell is a Thursday. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/NBCSAuthentic?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@NBCSAuthentic&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/y7b0EPLYqJ\"&gt;https://t.co/y7b0EPLYqJ&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Ray Ratto (@RattoNBCS) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/RattoNBCS/status/1056722324357955585?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;October 29, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Doug Upstone: <img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5bbfa3f9d5d1ec008d77a09e/original-raiders-logo" style="width:45px;height:48px;" /></h2><p><font color="black">If you had Oakland and San Francisco 'under' for season win totals, your confidence is pretty strong at the moment, knowing you all but assured you have a couple winners coming. Let's get to the truth: There are only certain people that will be interested in this contest with these team's records. Those that live in the Bay Area and have a rooting interests, football bettors with money on the line and those who have to give picks when writing articles. I'm in the last group and here is why Oakland covers. </font></p><p><font color="black">These are among the teams with the poorest talent and honestly, neither coach is doing a very good job in getting the most out of the least (ie: see Indianapolis). The next avenue to look down is the quarterback and that is where the Raiders have an edge. Derek Carr has been far from perfect, but he showed something Sunday after a truly awful week to be an Oakland fan. As long as he does not turn the ball over, he should have a better game than C.J. Beathard, and the 49ers fall to 1-9 ATS in home games after three or more consecutive losses. </font></p><h2>Kevin Stott: <img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5ba961266c2e4800b7a89129/thumb-49ers-logo" style="width:52px;height:29px;" /></h2><p>This game -- the last meeting between the two franchises in the Bay Area with the Raiders moving here to Las Vegas -- seemed great months ago before Jimmy G got hurt and before the Silver &amp; Black went all Radio Shack and dumped 2018 Defensive POY Khalil Mack (Bears) and Amari Cooper (Cowboys), leaving us with Fear And Loathing In Levi’s Stadium with Beathard and Bryant and one team who’s forced the fewest and committed the most TO’s (SF) and another (OAK) #28 in Scoring Offense (19.7 ppg) and #31 in Scoring Defense (31.1 ppg). Blech. Can this one be flexed to 2020?</p><p>The 49ers are 3-1 ATS L4 in series and 3-1 ATS L4 at The Zipper (and Candlestick), while Oakland’s 3-6 ATS and 1-4 ATS on the Road on Thursday Night Football with the 49ers 4-7 ATS and 2-4 ATS at Home on TNF, so, a tough handicap and maybe a tougher watch with gambling possibly generating half its viewership. Frisco has decent WRs in trade-rumored Garçon, Kittle, Juszczyk, Goodwin and Sourdough Sam has big hands but could use a couple more gold fingers (8, Garçon 10). Gruden looks not-so-wise for dealing Mack and Cooper, with the timing [of both] awful.</p><h2>Rainman: <img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5ba961266c2e4800b7a89129/thumb-49ers-logo" style="width:52px;height:29px;" /></h2><p>One team is still fighting, the other team has thrown its towel on the season. After trading away superstar Khalil Mack before the season, Oakland recently dealt away former first-round draft pick WR Amari Cooper. The Raiders seem more interested in collecting first-round draft picks than competing. Despite not being dogged by more than 5.5 points, they haven’t come close to winning any of their past three games. They lost by two touchdowns at home to Indianapolis, by 24 points to Seattle and by 26 to the Chargers.<br /><br />Oakland's loss Sunday, at home to Indy, is really concerning. The Colts were a 2-5 team that hadn’t surrendered fewer than 30 points in a game since September. David Carr is not putting up the numbers that he used to, failing to reach 270 yards three times in a row. The rush attack ranks towards the bottom. The 49ers impressed in their last prime-time performance when they nearly upset Green Bay on October 15. This is another bottom-10 pass defense that C.J. Beathard can succeed against. Matt Breida and Alfred Morris will also bounce-back games against Oakland’s awful defensive line.</p>
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