It’s a tough week to find value in the NFL Odds. There are several teams on bye limiting the amount of teams playing this week, and there are several horrific spreads. However to remedy that, I have three team props from bet365 that are sure to be solid NFL Picks.
The Seahawks have not been the repeat caliber champions we expected of them coming into the season, however they are still in striking distance of this division despite the Cardinals run at it, and this week they seemingly have the lock of the century. The Hawks are huge -14 ½ favorites against the Raiders at Century Link Field this week, and with the NFL Odds of the moneyline at -1200, we must find better ways to attack this game. One might be the Hawks’ team total. Even though bet365 has it at a high 29 ½, he Raiders’ defense will give up plenty of points on the road. On top of that, if young Derek Carr can step up and play well against an all of a sudden shaky secondary, the Seahawks’ offense will be forced to score more than last week that’s for sure. For that reason, we will offer the 'Over' for the first of our free NFL picks.
My Pick: Seahawks OVER 29 ½ (-120)
This may be one of the least desirable games to watch this week, but it may be ripe with value. The Bucs are +7 NFL Odds underdogs against the Browns this week, but by all accounts this is going to be a lower scoring game. The Bucs’ defense hasn’t been great this season, but neither has the Browns’ offense, and even at home here Cleveland is vulnerable to being scored on. That’s why the three unanswered scores prop looks so nice here when you see the value. Bet365 has the NFL Odds for neither team scoring three unanswered times at +200, which is incredible for two teams who aren’t far from one another in skill level. It’s a bit of a long shot, but taking a chance that this game will either be very low scoring, or back and forth.
My Pick: No 3 unanswered scores (+200)
While it may be different in the race to 20 points or more, I think the Chargers have a good chance of being the first team to 10 points. The Dolphins’ offense is very reliant on Lamar Miller right now, and with the solid run defense of the Chargers, it might make it difficult for the Dolphins to score here. On the other side, the Dolphins’ defense is playing similarly well, but when it comes to a tie, you go with the quarterback. While Ryan Tannehill is one of the better young quarterbacks in the NFL right now, Phillip Rivers may be one of the most undervalued. With NFL Odds of -105, I think the Chargers will get to 10 points first, and possibly even upset the Dolphins on the road.
My Pick: Chargers (-105)