Week 9 Picks: Early Numbers Can Mean Early Value

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 31, 2017 5:11 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017 5:11 PM UTC

SBR is the place to go if you want to see what all the top online sportsbooks are offering. Don’t start your search on game day because by that time those juicy numbers disappear as the NFL odds move rapidly. Let’s look at some early movers and get a jump on our week. 

Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars

The NFL odds have moved rather drastically on this game considering that the Jags opened as 2-point favorites and the number now stands as high as 5½ at online sportsbooks like BetDSI. A couple of factors are coming into play to cause this line to jump. First, Jacksonville has had two weeks to prepare as they are coming off both their bye week and a 27-0 blanking of the Colts. Secondly, the public can easily compare that cakewalk to the Bengals' death struggle over that same Colts’ team last week in which they pulled out a heart-stopping 24-23 victory.

In addition, Jax rookie wunderkind Leonard Fournette may be back in uniform after sitting out with an ankle injury, and his presence will provide a significant boost to the Jags’ rushing attack. If you like the value on Cincinnati at +5½ then click on over to BetDSI, but if you prefer to lay the lumber your best bet is to shop on over to 5Dimes currently holding firm dealing at Jacksonville -4½.


Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

Despite Indianapolis’ gritty performance in defeat last week to the Bengals and Houston’s loss to the Seahawks, this line has bumped from Texans -11 to as high as -14 (+115) at 5Dimes. However, most shops are dealing Houston at -13 with Heritage offering as low as 12½ if you are inclined to back the favorite in your NFL picks. Perhaps that number spiked because the Texans, previously known for defense, now own the top-rated offense in the league averaging 30.4 points per game. Compare that to the paltry 17.8 PPG (25th) of the Colts and you can see why the public is laying it in on the home chalk.


Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles

After Monday night’s performance against the Chiefs, the world knows that the Denver Broncos are light years removed from their Super Bowl edition of just a few seasons ago. Although the Denver defense is still good, it’s far from the dominating force of 2015, and their offense is generating only 18 points per game.

Meanwhile, the Eagles have been killing it, winning their last six and covering the number in five of those games, including a 33-10 thrashing of the 49ers last Sunday. The oddsmakers opened Philadelphia at -7, and although that line has moved only a half point to a full point in all of the major sportsbooks, it is significant because it crosses the seven and chalky players must now lay better than a touchdown on the Eagles. Top online sportsbooks such as Bookmaker, 5Dimes and BetOnline are offering -7½, while those who believe the visiting Broncos can hang tough with Philly can get Denver +8 at YouWager, JustBet and BetDSI. 

comment here