Early Week 9 Odds Show Love for Cleveland Browns

Jason Lake

Monday, October 29, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 29, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

The undefeated Kansas City Chiefs were the only double-digit favorites on the NFL odds board – until people started putting the Cleveland Browns in their Week 9 picks.

Jason’s 2018-19 NFL picks record through Week 7: 4-6 ATS, 0-2 Totals

The Kansas City Chiefs had to stumble at some point. They dropped the cash last week for the first time all season, allowing the Denver Broncos (+8.5 away) to sneak away with the matador cover in a 30-23 final. Yet another disappointing result here at the ranch, but we’re even more flummoxed by all that late money on Denver. The Chiefs were –9.5 when we put them in our Week 8 NFL picks.

That underdog mentality is carrying over into Week 9. Kansas City opened as a 10-point road fave for Sunday’s tilt (1 p.m. ET, CBS) with the Cleveland Browns, but at press time, the Browns are as low as +7.5 on the NFL odds board. That still makes Cleveland, which on Monday fired head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley, the biggest underdog of the week, but if they had any betting value at the open, it’s all gone now.

Seven and the Ragged Titans

The Tennessee Titans might overtake Cleveland for top-dog status before the week is done. They opened at +4 for their "Monday Night Football" matchup (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) in Arlington with the Dallas Cowboys; most locations at press time have the Titans at +6.5, with a sprinkling of books at +7. That makes Tennessee worth a look after back-to-back road losses by a single point.

Remember how the Green Bay Packers opened at +10.5 last week versus the Los Angeles Rams? The Packers got so much late action, they were down to +7.5 by kick-off, but they still earned the cover in a crazy 29-27 loss. This week, Green Bay is once again a sizeable road dog after opening at +7 for Sunday night’s visit (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) with the New England Patriots. Make sure you have ample supplies of pink bismuth if you’re betting on this one, based on what happened in L.A.

Speed Limit: 60

There’s one more +7 on the board at press time: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, whose short-term future hinges on the results of Sunday’s away game (1 p.m. ET, FOX) against the Carolina Panthers. The early action is on Carolina, moving them up from –6 at the open; the Bucs benched Jameis Winston on Sunday after he threw four picks against the Cincinnati Bengals, leaving head coach Dirk Koetter a tough choice between Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick going forward.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

#Buccaneers Ryan Fitzpatrick does it all folks. Like trying to blow a field goal attempt off the mark from the sideline. 😂 pic.twitter.com/rYjTSOGIgy

— Charles Robinson (@CharlesRobinson) October 28, 2018
\n\n"}[/]

The really big number on the Week 9 odds board is in the Big Easy, where the New Orleans Saints will host the Rams this Sunday (4:25 p.m. ET, FOX). The total for this bad boy has already reached 60 points after opening at 59. What the what?! Yes, it’s two of the top offenses in the league playing at the Superdome, but you have to go back to 2004 to find an NFL game with a total that high. It was the Oakland Raiders vs. the Chiefs, on Christmas Day at Arrowhead Stadium no less – and they still cashed in the OVER when K.C. won 31-30 after a last-minute field goal by Lawrence Tynes. So we’re saying there’s a chance.

comment here